Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
715
FXUS64 KFWD 090536
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1236 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warmer and mostly rain-free weather will continue for the
majority of this week with heat index values in the upper 90s to
around 103 degrees each afternoon.
- Isolated rain showers are possible in parts of the Brazos Valley
and Central Texas Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons with
coverage of around 10-15%.
- Chances for scattered showers and storms will resume from late
Friday into the upcoming weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026
North and Central Texas will remain on the periphery of a 590-592
dam ridge through the short-term forecast period. This will allow
breezy south winds and hot, muggy conditions to continue through
at least Wednesday. Expect a low stratus intrusion late tonight
into Tuesday morning and again Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning with overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. Clouds will
scatter and clear by early afternoon each day with highs
approaching the low to mid 90s both Tuesday and Wednesday
afternoons. Many locations reached or exceeded heat index values
of 105 degrees Monday afternoon. Surface dewpoints are expected to
be a bit lower Tuesday afternoon and will likely keep most
locations from reaching/exceeding heat indices of 105 degrees
again (would necessitate a Heat Advisory if this were to occur).
Nonetheless, many locations will likely approach heat indices near
100 degrees, so do take caution if you plan on being outside for
prolonged periods of time this afternoon. Seabreeze shower/storm
activity will make a run for our Brazos Valley counties both
Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons as well. Any lingering
precipitation will quickly diminish after sunset each evening.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night and Beyond)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026
Thursday will feature more hot and mostly rain-free conditions.
However, by Thursday night, troughing over the Central Plains will
begin to break down and weaken the ridge over North Texas
allowing a cold front to approach the Red River Valley by Friday
morning. This boundary will likely provide a focus for scattered
showers and thunderstorms, primarily north of I-20, through Friday
afternoon (30-50% chance). Forecasted QPF through Friday remains
fairly minimal at this time, but a few locations may pick up a
quick 0.5-1" of rain near the Red River early Friday. Beyond
Friday, model guidance continues to highlight a shift to a more
active weather pattern Sunday into early next week that will bring
multiple chances for rain, potentially heavy rainfall. Keep your
eye on the forecast through the week, especially if you have
outdoor plans during the upcoming weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue Jun 9 2026
VFR will prevail for the next several hours until SCT to BKN cigs
at 1-2 kft overspread much of North and Central Texas after 08Z
early this morning (closer to 10Z within the Metroplex). The
terminals may bounce in between MVFR and VFR through 16Z, but we
have opted to keep MVFR prevailing in the TAF instead of trying to
time a TEMPO group. After 16Z, cigs will quickly lift and scatter
to VFR status through the remainder of Tuesday afternoon and
evening. Seabreeze showers/storms will approach the Brazos Valley,
but should remain southeast of KACT. Otherwise, expect south
winds at 10-15 kts through the TAF period with occasional gusts up
to 20 kts during the day.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 92 77 94 78 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 90 75 92 77 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 90 76 90 78 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 91 77 93 78 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 91 77 92 78 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 94 77 95 78 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 92 75 93 77 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 94 76 95 77 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 91 75 92 77 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 92 74 95 77 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
