Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
926
FXUS64 KFWD 070528
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1228 AM CDT Fri Aug 7 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonably hot weather will continue through next week.
- Low storm chances are expected mainly across our southeast
counties late this afternoon and evening and along the Red River
overnight tonight.
- Isolated storms are expected to continue daily into next week
across our east/southeast counties.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
Seasonably hot weather will continue today into the weekend with
highs hovering around 100 degrees. Fortunately, modest afternoon
mixing will keep dewpoints in the mid 60s. This should generally
keep heat index values below 105 degrees this afternoon across the
region. Modest southeast surface winds will pull some moisture
northward across southeast Texas. Scattered sea breeze
thunderstorms are expected during the afternoon and some of this
activity may spread into our southeast counties where we`ll
maintain some low PoPs. Mid-level ridging will continue to slowly
slide westward through Saturday which will allow northerly mid-level
flow to develop throughout the South Plains. Weak height falls
and forcing for ascent will spread across Oklahoma Friday night
with scattered showers and storms expected to develop. Some of
this activity may make a run at our Red River counties overnight.
We`ll have some 20% PoPs to account for this activity. Otherwise,
hot conditions are expected again on Saturday with low storm
chances mainly across our eastern counties.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
North Texas will remain positioned between stronger ridging to the
west and a ridge over the southeastern CONUS through the first
half of next week. This pattern will feature weak tropospheric
flow with slightly better low-level moisture compared to this week.
Even with isolated diurnally driven convection developing beneath
this weakness in heights aloft through the first half of next
week, most areas will remain dry. Coverage of storms should
generally remain about 10% each afternoon. Highs will continue to
be seasonably hot with temperatures topping out near 100 each day.
No major pattern change appears to be on the horizon through the
week.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
VFR will prevail through the period with south flow 10 to 15 kt.
We`ll keep an eye on isolated sea breeze convection to the
southeast and at least a low potential for storms to approach from
the north late Friday night. Outside of these low convective
chances, no significant aviation concerns are expected.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Thu Aug 6 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 100 80 100 80 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 98 77 100 76 / 10 0 0 0
Paris 98 77 98 76 / 0 0 0 20
Denton 101 78 101 77 / 0 0 0 10
McKinney 99 77 100 77 / 0 0 0 10
Dallas 101 81 101 81 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 99 76 100 76 / 0 0 0 10
Corsicana 99 76 99 76 / 10 0 0 0
Temple 98 75 99 75 / 10 0 10 0
Mineral Wells 101 75 100 74 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
