Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
870
FXUS64 KFWD 261702
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1202 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- The current Heat Advisory in effect for North Texas into
eastern Central Texas has been extended through 8 PM CDT Monday.
- Hot and rain-free weather will persist this week with triple
digit temperatures becoming more widespread by Tuesday through
the end of the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday Night)
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026
Hot and dry conditions will continue through tomorrow as as high
pressure remains in control of the weather pattern. Temperatures
will be a couple of degrees hotter than yesterday with most
locations reaching the upper 90s or 100-102 degrees this
afternoon and again tomorrow. Overnight lows will also be a
little warmer with temperatures ranging from the mid 70s to lower
80s.
Modest humidity will result in another round of heat index values
between 100-108 degrees each afternoon and into the early
evening. The current Heat Advisory has been extended through
tomorrow for the same areas of North and eastern Central TX.
Continue to practice heat safety, especially during the hottest
part of the day by taking frequent breaks in the shade or A/C and
staying hydrated.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Weekend)
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026
Not much heat relief is in sight over the week as a strong upper-
level ridge expands and strengthens over the Desert Southwest and
towards our region. Model guidance continues to show a well
established southwest flow over the low-levels of the atmosphere
with little to no rain for North and Central TX. This will result
in widespread highs in the triple digits (100-105 degrees) by
midweek to late week. When comparing to the climatology, we`re
looking at 5-10 degrees above what`s normal for late July. While
at this time it doesn`t appear we will be breaking any records for
high temperatures, we will be close to matching some of the
records for the highest low temperatures during the mid to late
week period. As expected, additional Heat Advisories and Extreme
Heat Warnings will be needed through the week.
Looking ahead to the next weekend, temperatures should cool off
slightly as the upper-level ridge retracts slightly to the west.
This will open the door for a weak surface front to push south
closer to our area. Depending on the exact timing of the front,
many locations could stay in the 90s by late weekend.
Unfortunately, rain chances remain low and mostly confined to our
far eastern and southern counties.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026
No significant aviation concerns expected through the period with
VFR conditions and southerly winds around 11 kt or less. A mix of
a few daytime CUs and high-level clouds will spread across the
region through tomorrow.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 81 102 81 102 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 77 99 77 99 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 77 98 77 99 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 79 102 80 102 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 79 101 79 102 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 81 102 82 103 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 77 100 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 78 100 77 100 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 75 98 75 99 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 75 102 76 101 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Monday for TXZ091>095-100>107-
116>123-131>135-146>148-162.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Sanchez
LONG TERM....Sanchez
AVIATION...Sanchez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
