Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
772
FXUS64 KFWD 190628
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
128 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Prolonged dry and hot conditions are expected this week with
temperatures in the mid 90s to low 100s.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 120 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
Hot and mostly sunny conditions are expected today with afternoon
highs in the mid 90s and heat indices peaking in the upper 90s to
low 100s. A final, subtle shortwave will round about the eastern
periphery of the upper-level low situated over West Texas later
today before strong ridging fully shunts these lower heights west
into southern New Mexico. This may allow for a few very isolated
showers and a couple thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and
early evening north of I-20 in a pool of 2+" PWATs. The vast
majority of the region will remain dry. A warm Sunday night is
expected with overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 120 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
As the upper ridge takes hold over the Southern Plains, a
prolonged period of hot and dry weather will likely persist into
the latter portions of the work week. Expect widespread afternoon
highs in the triple digits by Tuesday-Wednesday with near-record
high overnight lows by Wednesday-Thursday as temperatures struggle
to fall below 80 degrees across parts of North Texas during the
nighttime. We will be monitoring the current tropical disturbance
Invest-91L over the next few days as some of the mesoscale
hurricane models highlight the potential for the aforementioned
upper ridge to steer this disturbance toward the western Gulf
during the second half of the work week. None of the global models
are picking up on this scenario yet, so for now, it is just
something to watch. If tropical moisture does push into parts of
the Texas Coast, high temperature forecast and rainfall chance
adjustments may be necessary for Thursday into the upcoming
weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 120 AM CDT Sun Jul 19 2026
VFR conditions will largely prevail through the TAF period. SCT to
BKN MVFR cigs will push into parts of Central Texas again after
12Z-13Z Sunday morning but should remain well south of the
Metroplex terminals. Have kept the TEMPO MVFR cigs in the KACT
TAF. Any lingering cigs should lift and scatter by 15Z-16Z late
Sunday morning. Otherwise, expect south winds at 8-15 kts through
the TAF period.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 99 79 101 81 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 96 75 97 75 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 96 76 97 77 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 98 77 101 78 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 97 78 100 79 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 99 80 102 81 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 98 76 99 77 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 97 75 99 76 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 96 73 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 97 74 99 74 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
