Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
145
FXUS64 KFWD 281044
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
544 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hot temperatures around 100 with little to no rain are expected
from today through at least the middle of next week.
- Fire threat will remain elevated into next week due to hot
temperatures, low humidity and worsening drought conditions.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Radar imagery early this morning shows a few showers and
thunderstorms continue across parts of Central Texas along/ahead
of a weak boundary stretching from near Abilene to College
Station. This activity should continue to shift southward out of
the forecast area over the next couple of hours. Otherwise,
another hot late August day is anticipated across North and
Central Texas, with lows this morning in the 70s to around 80 and
highs reaching 97-103 this afternoon under mostly sunny skies.
Some CAMs indicate an isolated shower or storm is possible this
afternoon, mainly in Central Texas, but the chance appears too low
to include anything above a 10% pop.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Rest of the forecast period looks to be hot and dry with little
potential for any rain as the large upper level high pressure
ridge that has dominated our weather since mid-July shifts back
over the southern Plains. Kept temperatures near or slightly above
NBM guidance as it has been underdoing highs a tad past few days.
A drier low level airmass will keep heat index values below our
heat advisory thresholds today and tomorrow, so for the first time
in quite a while no heat products are warranted. However, from
Sunday into next week our temperatures and/or heat indices look
to reach near or above criteria for at least parts of the area, so
more heat advisories will probably be needed next week. 00Z
guidance does indicate a tropical wave moving westward along the
Gulf Coast may enhance rain chances for South and Southeast Texas
around the middle of next week, but for now any notable rain looks
to stay south of us.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
VFR conditions will continue this TAF period with just a few low
or high clouds and easterly winds around 6 knots.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 101 78 102 79 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 100 75 100 76 / 10 0 0 0
Paris 99 71 98 72 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 100 74 101 76 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 99 74 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 102 79 102 80 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 100 73 100 75 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 99 75 99 76 / 10 0 0 0
Temple 99 74 100 75 / 10 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 101 71 102 73 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Shamburger
LONG TERM....Shamburger
AVIATION...Shamburger
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
