Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
910
FXUS64 KFWD 031858
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1258 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated rain showers with a rumble of thunder or two will be
possible south of I-20 and along/east of I-35 through this
afternoon.
- A cold front moving across the region today will bring cooler
temperatures for Wednesday with highs in the 50s and lows in the
30s.
- Warm, above-normal temperatures and dry conditions are expected
late in the work week through this weekend with highs in the
70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 1251 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026
The advertised cold front currently bisects our forecast area as
it gradually shifts south of the I-20 corridor this afternoon.
This boundary separates a relatively moist airmass to the south
noted by dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s and a drier airmass
to the north, with dewpoints in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Extensive cloud cover currently exists along and south of the
front with isolated showers remaining possible through this
afternoon south of I-20 and east of I-35. MUCAPE > 300 J/kg will
support a few rumbles of thunder before this activity exits to the
southeast along with the cold front later this evening.
North winds at 10-15 mph behind the cold front will usher in a
slightly cooler airmass with overnight lows falling into the mid
to upper 30s by Wednesday morning and widespread highs in the 50s
tomorrow afternoon. A few, isolated high-based showers may
develop northwest of the Metroplex during the day Wednesday as a
compact shortwave trough shifts over the Southern Plains.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1251 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026
Broad mid/upper ridging will extend from Northern Mexico toward
the Intermountain West through the remainder of the week.
Additionally, the return of west-southwest winds Thursday will
promote a gradual warming trend into the weekend. Expect highs in
the 60s Thursday reaching the low to mid 70s region-wide Friday
afternoon. A weak cold front looks to move through the area
Friday, but will do little outside of a brief northwesterly wind
shift. The state of Texas will remain beneath ridging through much
of the weekend allowing for a very mild and pleasant early
February weekend with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to
upper 70s (15 to 20 degrees above average for this time of year).
Our next chance for rain will likely hold off until the Monday-
Tuesday timeframe next week when extended guidance highlights
increasing moisture over North and Central Texas ahead of a Desert
Southwest upper low.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1251 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026
A cold front has pushed through the Metroplex with all D10
terminals now reporting north-northwest winds at 10-15 kts. FROPA
will reach KACT within the next hour. An isolated rain shower
cannot be ruled out at KACT over the next couple of hours. The
expansive cloud deck observed earlier today is clearing from north
to south with the arrival of drier air behind the front. VFR
conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period for all
FWD TAF sites. North winds will fall below 10 kts tonight before
increasing again by midday Wednesday.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 38 56 35 65 / 0 10 0 0
Waco 39 59 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 35 53 31 61 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 33 55 30 65 / 0 10 0 0
McKinney 36 54 32 63 / 0 10 0 0
Dallas 40 57 35 66 / 0 10 0 0
Terrell 37 56 32 63 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 39 59 36 64 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 38 60 34 65 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 35 59 31 68 / 0 10 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
