Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
422
FXUS64 KFWD 281815
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
115 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Cool and cloudy conditions will continue today following
yesterday`s strong cold front.
- Temperatures will return to above normal Sunday through early
next week, with no chance for rain through Monday.
- A pattern change will allow daily chances for showers and
thunderstorms to return from Tuesday through next weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 106 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026
Cool and cloudy conditions will continue through the rest of the
afternoon thanks to weak isentropic upglide atop the cool airmass
currently in place. A few lingering sprinkles are ongoing this
early afternoon, however, expect to see a gradual drying trend
heading into the evening hours. Highs today will stay in the mid
to upper 50s for most of the region. The exception will be across
East Texas and the Brazos Valley, where lower to mid 60s are
expected. Cool conditions are once again expected tonight with
temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Tomorrow (Sunday) will be a sharp contrast compared to today as
temperatures quickly rise into the lower to mid 80s area-wide.
This is due to the return of southerly winds as the cool air mass
retreats northward. Expect plenty of sunshine with southerly winds
between 15-20 mph.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 106 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026
Zonal flow will be in place Monday and Tuesday as the mid-level
ridge shifts to the northern Gulf region. This transition will
keep rather tranquil weather conditions with temperatures in the
mid to upper 80s. Heading into the middle of the week, a cold
front is expected to make its way south across the Plains. With a
surface low developing ahead of the front over the Texas Panhandle,
this should promote the development of a dryline that will become
the focus for showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night into
Wednesday. A strong storm or two cannot be ruled out given the
shear/instability in place.
The active weather pattern will continue through the end of next
week as longwave troughing strengthens in the western CONUS. This
trough should set up a more typical springtime pattern with
westerly to southwesterly flow aloft, sending periodic shortwaves
atop the Southern Plains, promoting continued storm chances for
our region.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 106 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2026
VFR overcast skies and breezy easterly winds are ongoing at this
time across North and Central Texas. Ceilings remain around
3500-5000 feet with little change anticipated through tomorrow
morning. Expect these winds to continue veering to the southeast
this afternoon, becoming southerly overnight. Once the winds
become southerly, expect them to remain out of the south through
the duration of this TAF cycle.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 53 82 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 52 82 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 50 79 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 48 81 59 84 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 52 81 60 84 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 55 82 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 52 81 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 54 83 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 50 83 60 87 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 46 83 57 87 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
