Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
789
FXUS64 KFWD 281156
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
556 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hazardous travel impacts due to lingering ice and re-freezing on
roads will continue across North Texas this morning.
- Freezing fog has developed across parts of North Texas this
morning, causing light ice accumulations.
- Below normal temperatures will persist through the next 7 days,
but no additional precipitation is expected through the
weekend.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 534 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026
Freezing fog is ongoing across parts of North Texas this morning.
Areas to the south and southeast of area lakes contain the
greatest threat for freezing fog as moisture from the lake
condenses, then freezes upon contact. Elsewhere, visibility
sensors across North Texas continue to report anywhere between 1
to 6 miles of visibility. Although the fog may not be dense, it
may still lead to light ice accumulations on surfaces adding to
the already slick roadways across the region.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 117 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026
A cold Wednesday morning is in store across the region as much of
North and Central Texas has dropped below the freezing mark.
Temperatures will continue to decrease area wide, bottoming out in
the teens to lower 20s by sunrise today.
The main weather concerns this morning will be the development of
freezing fog across North Texas and parts of Central Texas.
Additionally, wind chills below 15 degrees in Central Texas will
make for a dangerously cold morning along and west of I-35.
The development of fog will commence close to 3 AM as high clouds
slowly shift east, away from North and Central Texas. The clear
skies will allow for temperatures to decrease to the dew point.
The super-cooled water droplets will likely freeze upon contact to
any untreated surface, adding to the already slick conditions
that are currently impacting the region.
Fog will begin to disperse by late this morning as low-level
mixing commences. This afternoon, mostly sunny skies can be
expected with highs climbing into the 40s. This should allow for
road conditions to once again improve as many locations remain
coated with ice. For tonight, lows will be the warmest they`ve
been over the last few days with temperatures in the mid 20s to
lower 30s. Given a widespread freeze is once again expected, the
potential for black ice will once again present itself come the
Thursday morning commute. Additionally, we continue to monitor the
potential for another round of freezing fog, especially east of
I-35 prior to sunrise Thursday.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 117 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026
As mentioned above, slick spots will continue to be a travel
hazard Thursday morning, however, temperatures will quickly rise
to the mid 40s and 50s in North Texas with 50s to near 60 degrees
in Central Texas. Thursday will be the warmest day as southwesterly
surface winds develop in response to a passing area of low
pressure. The warm temperatures will be short lived as the low
shifts east, sending a trailing cold front across the region
Thursday evening and overnight. With the front moving through the
region Thursday night, Friday`s highs will be in the 40s area
wide.
Guidance continues to drive a secondary surge of cold air
southward into North and Central Texas in response to an area of
high pressure centered across Kansas and Oklahoma. Highs on
Saturday across North Texas will struggle to climb above freezing
with the majority of the region in the upper 20s to lower 30s.
Central Texas will range from the mid to upper 30s.
This weekend`s cold spell will be short-lived as westerly and
southwesterly winds return by Sunday thanks to an approaching
shortwave from Baja California. The shortwave is expected to
arrive late Monday into Tuesday, increasing rain chances east of
I-35. With temperatures remaining above freezing Monday onward,
expect any precipitation to remain in the liquid form.
Beyond the next 7 days, expect a gradual warming trend as
temperatures return to more seasonable readings.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 534 AM CST Wed Jan 28 2026
Light freezing fog is ongoing across North Texas and will continue
through the mid-morning hours. MVFR visibility will be main
threat, as well as the light ice accumulation that may form on any
surface.
By this afternoon, expect VFR skies with light northwesterly
winds. The northwesterly winds will persist through the evening
before winds become southerly tonight. The southerly winds will
help draw increased moisture atop a cold airmass, leading to the
development of freezing fog once again tonight. Any freezing fog
tonight will improve shortly after sunrise tomorrow.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 42 31 51 27 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 41 28 54 28 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 40 27 47 25 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 41 26 49 21 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 40 28 49 25 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 41 31 52 28 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 41 28 50 27 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 44 31 54 30 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 46 27 58 28 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 44 26 52 23 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freezing Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST this morning for
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>134-141>145.
Cold Weather Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ142>145-
156>160-174.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
