Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
935
FXUS64 KFWD 292334
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
534 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Lingering slick spots on roads may create hazardous travel for
portions of North Texas overnight into Friday morning.
- A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect from 12 AM to 11 AM
Saturday due to wind chills ranging from 0 to 15 degrees.
- Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected
Saturday into Sunday.
- A warm up will occur Sunday through early next week, with rain
chances returning to the region Tuesday into Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
A cold front is currently moving through our northwestern
counties and will continue its trek south-southeast through the
rest of this afternoon and evening. The areas in our northwest
where the front has already passed are only expected to peak in
the upper 40s to low-mid 50s, while elsewhere will reach the mid
50s to mid 60s. Breezy post-frontal winds are expected through the
afternoon, with gusts generally up to around 25 mph through early
this evening. Expect some development of post-frontal stratus
later today, though this is expected to mainly move overtop the
eastern half of the region. Otherwise, tonight will be slightly
colder due to the influx of cold air from the north. Overnight
lows will range from the lows 20s near the Red River to at or just
below freezing in our far southern counties. Lingering CAA over
much of the region will keep things cooler over Friday afternoon,
with highs only reaching the mid 40s to mid 50s. A backdoor cold
front is expected to move through the region later in the day in
response to a digging shortwave to our east and incoming surface
high to our north. This FROPA will be accompanied by a stronger
slug of cold air, bringing much more frigid conditions to North
and Central Texas as we head into the weekend.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Cold conditions are expected Friday night through Sunday morning
across the region. For Saturday morning, low temperatures are
expected to bottom out in the mid teens to mid 20s. However, wind
gusts between 15-20 mph will exacerbate the cold, pushing wind
chills down to between 0 and 15 degrees. A Cold Weather Advisory
has been issued for Friday night-Saturday morning due to these
wind chills. If you have to be outdoors during this time, make
sure to properly bundle up and avoid excess time outside to avoid
getting hypothermia. Some areas near the Red River may briefly
observe wind chills a couple of degrees below zero near daybreak.
However, while this does meet Excessive Cold criteria, sub-zero
wind chills would only linger for an hour or two before rising
back above zero. Because of this, have not included any Excessive
Cold headlines at this time, but will continue to keep watch.
The rest of Saturday will remain cold with highs across much of
North Texas only peaking in the 29-32 degree range. Elsewhere,
temperatures will reach the mid-upper 30s. Saturday night into
Sunday will feature another night of very cold conditions, with
lows in the mid teens to low 20s and wind chills generally
between 10-20 degrees. Another Cold Weather Advisory may be
necessary for western portions of Central Texas during this time
for wind chills < 15 degrees, but this will be decided upon
overnight tonight or tomorrow.
A rapid warm up is expected Sunday into early next week as
southerly winds return and upper-level ridging begins to build
into the region. Highs on Monday will be quite nice, reaching all
the way into the 50s and 60s for the first time in a minute.
However, a series of shortwaves will break the ridge down and
allow for an unsettled weather pattern as we head into midweek.
Rain chances will increase Tuesday into Wednesday, but will come
to an end with the passage of another cold front.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 531 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
North to northwest winds of 15-20 kt behind today`s cold front
will drop to around 10kt overnight into Friday morning. Modest
north winds will continue during the day Friday, but will increase
to 20+ kt Friday night as a second, stronger cold front arrives.
The Friday night front will require an added line in the extended
DFW TAF. Some low clouds may develop this evening atop the
frontal layer, but should remain scattered in coverage. VFR will
otherwise persist through Friday evening.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 27 46 18 33 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 30 49 23 35 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 26 44 14 30 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 21 45 13 32 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 25 44 15 31 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 28 47 18 33 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 27 46 16 33 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 30 49 21 35 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 30 52 22 38 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 23 50 17 35 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Cold Weather Advisory from midnight Friday night to 11 AM CST
Saturday for TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-
174-175.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Prater
LONG TERM....Prater
AVIATION...30/MB
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
