Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
207
FXUS64 KFWD 021110
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
510 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Sub-freezing temperatures with wind chills in the 20s are
expected this morning.
- Brief warming is expected mid-week before another cold front
brings cooler air and scattered rain chances to the region late
Wednesday through Friday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 1219 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025
A chilly night is unfolding as another push of colder and drier
air is filtering into the region. A few locations near/west of
the I-35 corridor have already fallen below freezing as of
midnight, with temperatures expected to fall below freezing
areawide through the remainder of the night. Low temperatures will
bottom out in the mid 20s to low 30s. Following a dreary Monday,
the last of the cloud cover will continue to gradually move off to
the east through the remainder of the night, with a rather sunny
day on tap for Tuesday. Despite the clear skies, chilly weather
will persist for another day with afternoon highs mostly ranging
from the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Southerly winds will return to the region Tuesday afternoon and
will strengthen Tuesday night into Wednesday as a surface low
and its attendant cold front approach from the north/northwest.
Strengthening low-level winds will allow moisture to begin to return
to the area on Wednesday, with an increase in cloud cover expected
throughout the day. Temperatures will briefly rebound into the
upper 50s and 60s Wednesday afternoon, but this warming trend will
be cut short by another strong cold front that will arrive to
portions of the area Wednesday afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1219 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025
The aforementioned cold front will continue moving south through
the forecast area Wednesday evening. Sufficient moisture return
across Central Texas will allow some low rain chances to return
Wednesday evening/night with the arrival of the cold front. Much
colder air (similar to what we saw early this week) will filter
into the region behind the front Wednesday night into Thursday.
Sub-freezing temperatures are expected for portions of North Texas
Thursday morning, with afternoon highs only in the 40s for most
locations Thursday afternoon. Moisture will not be scoured from
the region behind the front, which will allow scattered rain
showers to continue on Thursday as a shortwave trough moves
across the area. There could be a very brief window for a wintry
mix across western North Texas/the Big Country early Thursday
morning. However, this will depend on whether enough moisture will
be present for precipitation to occur when/where temperatures are
below freezing. It`s quite likely the timing and location of any
precipitation will not overlap with sub-freezing temperatures,
but we will continue to monitor the potential as we get within
range of hi-res guidance.
Rain chances will linger across Central Texas into Friday, with no
rain chances forecast late Friday through the upcoming weekend.
Temperatures will moderate Friday into Saturday, with highs
returning to the 60s for most locations Saturday afternoon.
Another cold front is slated to arrive on Sunday, but is not
anticipated to be nearly as strong as the cold fronts earlier in
the week. This front will likely only shave a few degrees off of
temperatures Sunday and Monday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 509 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. Light northwest
winds around 5 knots or less will continue this morning but will
shift out of the south/southeast early this afternoon. Wind speeds
will remain light through the afternoon but will increase to
around 9-12 knots late tonight into early Wednesday morning.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 51 39 63 36 / 0 0 0 10
Waco 51 38 67 42 / 0 0 0 20
Paris 46 31 58 36 / 0 0 0 10
Denton 51 34 63 31 / 0 0 0 10
McKinney 49 35 62 34 / 0 0 0 10
Dallas 51 38 64 38 / 0 0 0 10
Terrell 49 34 63 38 / 0 0 0 10
Corsicana 51 39 65 43 / 0 0 0 20
Temple 54 38 68 41 / 0 0 0 20
Mineral Wells 56 37 68 33 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Barnes
LONG TERM....Barnes
AVIATION...Barnes
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
