Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
935
FXUS64 KFWD 282321
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
621 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hot and dry conditions will continue through next week with
highs in the upper 90s and heat index values near 105 degrees.
- Breezy south winds will continue today and Monday, with frequent
gusts between 30-35 mph.
- Low rain chances will return next weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 147 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
Hot and dry conditions will persist this afternoon through Monday
as the center of a mid level ridge axis remains just to our east.
Troughing over the western CONUS will help sustain continued lee
side cyclogenesis through Monday afternoon which will result in
persistent breezy conditions. A deeply mixed boundary layer will
keep dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s this afternoon and Monday
which should keep heat indices in check. Heat index values should
top out between 100-105 degrees. Overnight lows will only fall
into the upper 70s tonight with some intermittent cloud cover.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 147 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
Ridging will persist through much of the upcoming week across the
Southern Plains but the ridge axis will slowly slide eastward
through the week. This will allow the pressure gradient to relax a
bit through mid week as troughing over the western CONUS becomes a
little less amplified. Lighter winds and slightly warmer
temperatures will make it feel a little hotter, but overall
temperatures will generally remain in the upper 90s through the
week for afternoon highs. Despite the lighter winds, we`ll
generally see deep boundary layer mixing which will allow
dewpoints to fall into the upper 60s and lower 70s. This should
keep heat index values below Heat Advisory criteria. Slightly
better moisture is expected to spread north into the region by
late week and we`ll likely see some low storm chances by the
Fourth of July.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
Breezy southerly winds will persist through the entire forecast
period with sustained speeds of 15-20 kts and gusts of 25-30 kts.
A brief intrusion of MVFR stratus is expected again Monday morning
which may intermittently result in cigs prior to daybreak, and
this will be advertised with a Tempo group for all TAF sites.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 79 98 77 97 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 78 97 76 97 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 76 94 73 95 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 78 98 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 78 97 75 96 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 80 98 79 98 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 77 97 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 77 96 75 96 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 77 96 74 96 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 76 97 73 98 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Dunn
LONG TERM....Dunn
AVIATION...Stalley
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
