Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
244
FXUS64 KFWD 021647
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1147 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hot but less humid conditions will continue through Monday with
temperatures increasing through Tuesday. No significant rain
chances are expected through the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026
A seasonably hot day is expected today with sunny skies and a
persistent north wind. Northerly mid level flow around the
periphery of stronger ridging will keep dry air in place across
North Texas. Afternoon dewpoints will generally be in the mid to
upper 50s. With high temperatures today expected to be in the mid
90s, it`ll actually feel rather pleasant for the middle of summer.
Mid level ridging will expand eastward on Monday and temperatures
will respond upward with highs near 100 degrees. Deep boundary
layer mixing will keep dewpoints in the upper 50s and lower 60s
which will preclude the need for a Heat Advisory.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026
Ridging will continue to expand across the Southern Plains through
the middle of the week with Tuesday still expected to be the
hottest day of the week. An expanding 925-850 mb thermal ridge and
generally light winds will allow highs to top out in the 101-103
degree range Tuesday afternoon. Deep mixing will again allow
dewpoints to fall sufficiently that heat indices should be near
ambient air temperatures. Moisture will slowly tick upward through
the latter part of the week with some indication of the ridge
again retreating westward by next weekend. Heat indices will
respond upward during this time and we`ll likely need heat
advisories sometime later this week. Rain chances will remain near
zero but may nudge upward just a bit by next weekend particularly
across our east and southeast counties.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026
VFR will prevail through the period with northerly winds 10 kt or
less today becoming southeast later this evening. No significant
aviation concerns are expected through the period.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 75 100 78 102 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 72 99 76 99 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 69 95 72 98 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 71 100 75 102 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 71 99 74 100 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 75 101 78 103 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 71 99 74 100 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 72 99 76 100 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 72 99 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 69 102 72 102 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion