Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
061
FXUS64 KFWD 041858
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
158 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Moderate to heavy rain may lead to quick ponding of roads
across the Brazos Valley through this afternoon. Rain chances
will come to an end by sunset this evening.
- A few days of near or below normal temperatures can be expected
through the middle of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 129 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026
The cold front has cleared all of North and Central Texas,
ushering in cooler weather along with a gradual clearing of skies
from northwest to southeast. Post-frontal rainfall will continue
through the rest of the afternoon across the Brazos Valley and our
southeastern counties as they await the arrival of the drier
airmass. With the dense cloud cover clearing from northwest to
southeast, expect some warming through the afternoon with highs in
the upper 60s to lower 70s. Compare this to 24 hours ago where
highs were in the 80s across the region!
All precipitation is expected to shift east and southeast of our
region by tonight as surface high pressure settles to our north.
Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s to lower 50s thanks to
the continued cold air advection and clear skies. Make sure to
grab that light jacket tomorrow morning if you plan on attending
any Easter morning celebrations!
Surface ridging will continue to be in control on Sunday as winds
maintain a northerly to northeasterly component. This will keep
afternoon highs in the 60s and 70s with clear to mostly clear
skies across much of the region.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 129 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026
Monday will be a day of transition across North and Central Texas
as the ridge shifts east, turning our winds to a southeasterly
direction. This will lead to slight warming trend as we approach
the middle of the week with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
Overall, expect several quiet and comfortable days through much of
the work week.
A more notable change will take shape late Thursday into Friday
thanks to stronger southerly flow across the region. Moisture will
be on the rise By late Thursday into Friday in conjunction with a
deepening trough to our west. The longwave trough will likely send
several shortwaves our way, increasing rain chances through the
weekend. This far out, no single day shows a sizable severe
weather threat, however, this will continue to be assessed given
we are in our more typical severe weather season and a dryline
won`t be too far off to our west. More details to come in the next
couple of days!
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 129 PM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026
Significant improvements are taking shape across North and Central Texas
as the bulk of the rain continues moving to the east of D10. VFR
skies are now in place across all of the North Texas TAF sites as
low-level dry air continues to filter in. Gusty northerly winds
will continue through around sunset, at times gusting to around 25
kts. Overnight, expect the gusts to diminish with continued VFR
skies. By tomorrow afternoon, high clouds are expected to
traverse the North and Central Texas sky with continued northerly
to northeasterly gusty winds in the afternoon.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Sat Apr 4 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 49 71 50 73 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 49 68 49 70 / 10 0 0 0
Paris 44 68 44 70 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 44 70 44 73 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 46 70 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 50 70 51 73 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 47 70 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 49 72 49 74 / 10 0 0 0
Temple 50 71 49 73 / 10 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 44 70 44 73 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
