Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
688
FXUS64 KFWD 241836
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1236 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An elevated wildfire threat will materialize this afternoon
across North Texas, particularly in the northwest due to gusty
winds, above normal temperatures, and low humidity.
- The elevated fire threat will continue Wednesday and Thursday,
but lower wind speeds will limit the overall threat.
- Warm and rain-free conditions continue the rest of the week with
no significant rain chances through the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1224 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
The latest satellite imagery reveals broad anticyclonic flow
associated with a mid/upper ridge over the western and central
part of the CONUS. The ridge will be the main feature affecting
North and Central Texas, as it will provide above-normal
temperatures and dry conditions for the rest of the week. Warm,
dry and windy weather will create an elevated threat for wildfires
this afternoon, particularly along and north of I-20 where the
stronger winds and drier air will be. A Wind Advisory is also in
effect this afternoon for much of the area, as a tight pressure
gradient generates sustained winds of 25+ MPH ahead of the next
cold front. Breezy conditions will continue tonight and Wednesday,
though weaker winds and higher dewpoints should help keep the fire
weather threat in check.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1224 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
A weak front will bring a shift to north winds Wednesday evening,
though little temperature difference will be felt. High pressure
aloft will continue to provide above-normal temperatures through
the end of the week and month. This is tied for the third warmest
February on record so far, so we will see how thing go during the
final week. Right now Wednesday (ahead of the front) and Saturday
look like our warmest days with highs ranging from the upper 70s
to mid 80s. The next rain chances will be about a week from now
associated with an upper low and the next cold front.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 PM CST Tue Feb 24 2026
Gusty south winds are in store for today, particularly this
afternoon when 30 to 35 kt gusts will be common. Velocities will
decrease tonight as partial decoupling occurs, but should remain
strong enough at the surface to preclude any llws issues.
Overnight stratus is expected to remain east of all TAF sites,
keeping VFR in place. Otherwise, a weak front will create a wind
shift in the Metroplex Thursday evening, which will eventually be
added to the extended portion of the DFW TAF.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 56 83 55 77 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 56 85 59 81 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 53 77 56 76 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 51 81 49 76 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 54 80 54 76 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 56 84 57 79 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 55 82 57 78 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 58 85 60 81 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 53 86 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 51 85 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for TXZ093>095-103>107-
117>123-131>135-143>146-157>159.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...30/MB
LONG TERM....30/MB
AVIATION...30/MB
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
