Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
962
FXUS64 KFWD 291045
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
545 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A Heat Advisory remains in effect through 8PM this evening
across much of North and Central Texas where heat index readings
could reach up to 109.
- Hot and rain-free weather will persist through the work week
with little relief in sight, and additional Heat Advisories or
possibly Extreme Heat Warnings may be needed.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 135 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026
Upper ridging will remain anchored over eastern New Mexico and the
Texas Panhandle through at least Thursday keeping hot and dry
conditions over North and Central Texas. Expect afternoon highs in
the upper 90s to lower 100s both Wednesday and Thursday with heat
index values peaking in the 105-110 degree range across much of
the region. A Heat Advisory remains in effect for much of our
forecast area, minus several Big Country counties, through this
evening and will likely be extended into Thursday on the day
shift. Stay cool out there and make sure you are checking up on
your friends, family, and neighbors that may be more susceptible
to heat-related illnesses.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 135 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026
By Friday, troughing will dig southeast across parts of the
Midwest shunting the upper ridge toward the Four Corners region
and placing North and Central Texas beneath north-northwest flow
aloft. This will allow for a weak frontal boundary to sag south
toward the Red River Friday night pushing through the rest of the
region during the day Saturday. Ahead of this boundary on Friday,
winds will take on a more west-southwesterly component which may
tick temperatures up two to three degrees into the 103-106 degree
range potentially necessitating an Extreme Heat Warning across
parts of North Texas.
There will be notable moisture pooling ahead of this boundary that
could help initiate a few very isolated thunderstorms as early as
Friday evening near the Red River. This isolated storm potential
(less than 20% chance) will gradually shift southward through the
first half of the weekend as the weak frontal boundary makes
progress into Central Texas. Severe weather is not expected and
most locations will remain dry, but any storms that do develop
will be capable of producing strong downburst winds with
temperatures in/near the triple digits.
By Sunday, drier air will filter in effectively shutting off any
of the low rain chances that will be present on Saturday.
Northeasterly surface winds will allow for a slightly "cooler" day
on Sunday with highs in the low to mid 90s. However, by Monday
winds turn back out of the south and upper ridging extends back
over the Southern Plains causing temperatures to gradually warm
back up into the upper 90s to lower 100s. No significant rain
chances are in the forecast through at least the next 7-8 days.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT Wed Jul 29 2026
VFR conditions and south winds at 5-12 kts will prevail through
the TAF period at all North and Central Texas terminals. Very
brief MVFR cigs may move into the vicinity of KACT around 13Z-14Z
this morning.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1207 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 101 82 102 82 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 99 77 100 78 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 98 78 97 78 / 0 0 10 0
Denton 101 80 102 81 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 99 79 100 79 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 101 83 102 83 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 99 78 100 78 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 100 78 100 79 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 99 76 100 77 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 101 76 102 77 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107-
116>123-131>135-144>148-158>162-174-175.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
