Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
789
FXUS64 KFWD 260638
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1238 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Widespread hazardous travel impacts due to sub-freezing
temperatures and ice, sleet, and snow on roads will continue
through Tuesday.
- Life-threatening cold wind chills as low as 10 below zero at
times through Tuesday morning will result in hypothermia and
frostbite if precautions are not taken.
- A long duration of below-freezing temperatures will continue
through Tuesday morning which will increase the risk of broken
pipes and water damage.
- Below normal temperatures will persist through the next 7 days,
however, additional frozen precipitation is not expected
through the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1222 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Remnant Winter Precipitation Impacts
- No additional precipitation is expected
- The frozen precipitation that is on the ground will begin to
slowly melt today given direct sunlight due to clear skies, even
with freezing temperatures.
- Surfaces that are shaded are unlikely to experience melting
today.
- Any standing water due to melting during the day will quickly
refreeze as the sun sets, leading to another night of hazardous
driving conditions.
- Above freezing temperature are expected on Tuesday, leading to
more significant melting area wide.
Precipitation has come to an end across North and Central Texas as
the disturbances responsible for our wintry mischief drift away
from the region. With no new precipitation in the forecast today
or tonight, our attention then turn to the extreme cold that will
continue through Tuesday morning.
Temperatures this morning will be the coldest in our northwestern
counties, from around Bowie to Graham to Breckenridge. In this
area, lows will be between 4 below zero to 0 degrees. The rest of
the area will be between 0 to 15 degrees with the warmest
temperatures across Central Texas. Wind chills will be even colder
with readings between -10 along the Red River to 3 degrees in
Central Texas.
The center of the surface high pressure will be moving across the
region this afternoon, keeping winds light across the region. By
this evening, the high will be east of our region and our surface
winds will return out of the southwest. Given the substantial
amount of cold air to the south, even with south winds, we will
continue to experience extreme cold temperatures through the
night.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1222 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
After a long-duration freeze, significant improvements are
expected on Tuesday as temperatures finally rise above freezing.
The Arctic air mass will retreat northward as pressure falls
commence along the Front Range, strengthening the southerly flow
across the region. Tuesday night, temperatures will once again
dip into the teens to lower 20s, increasing the risk for black ice
where surface moisture remains.
A weak cold front will arrive on Wednesday, keeping cold
temperatures in place throughout the day. Highs will likely be in
the 30s along and north of the I-20 corridor, with lower to mid
40s south of I-20. The warmest day of the week is shaping up to be
Thursday as south winds once again return in response to low-level
cyclogenesis along the Front Range. As the area of low pressure
slides east, it will drag a trailing cold front into North and
Central Texas. This cold front is currently expected to arrive on
Friday, knocking highs back into the mid 30s to mid 40s. The cold
temperatures will persist through the weekend with indications of
a secondary surge of cold air prior to sunrise Saturday. If the
secondary surge arrives, it would keep afternoon temperatures in
the mid to lower 30s across North Texas with those along the Red
River below the freezing mark for afternoon highs. Thankfully, the
Pacific system we have been monitoring is expected to take a more
southerly track, avoiding all of North Texas and parts of Central
Texas. A few rain showers cannot be ruled out on Saturday across
the Brazos Valley before exiting the region by Saturday night.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Clouds continue to clear from west to east as the shortwave
responsible for last night`s snow races off to the east. One
final shortwave disturbance currently entering the Panhandle will
bring another batch of mid level clouds in the morning, but a
much drier airmass should preclude another round of light snow.
That being said, a few flurries are not out of the question, but
probabilities are too low to include in any of the TAFs at this
time.
VFR will be the rule through Monday night as high pressure builds
in from the northwest. The surface ridge axis will slide southeast
across Central Texas Monday afternoon and evening, causing the
incessant north winds to finally back around to the southwest by
27/03Z.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 29 15 42 22 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 29 14 40 18 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 28 7 36 16 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 27 8 40 15 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 26 11 38 18 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 29 13 40 21 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 27 10 40 19 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 31 15 42 23 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 31 12 45 20 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 29 10 45 16 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...30/MB
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
