Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
854
FXUS64 KFWD 040947
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
447 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures will remain near or slightly above normal this week
into the weekend.
- A stray shower or thunderstorm can`t be ruled out Friday and
Saturday (~10% chance).
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
Near to slightly above normal high temperatures will continue
across North and Central Texas with highs ranging from the
upper-90s into the lower-100s. Due to the dry airmass in place
with dewpoints in the 50s and lower-60s, overnight lows tonight
may overperform again. Have lowered lows (particularly outside
urban areas) several degrees coolers than the current NBM with
low to mid-70s for much of the area. Continued high pressure and
ridging overhead will keep the forecast for this time period dry
with very little in the way of clouds.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026
The upper-level ridge currently centered over the southern Rockies
will slowly retrograde westward during this time period. As such,
temperatures look to trend slightly cooler to be near-normal by
this weekend (highs in the upper-90s).
A weak cold front will likely stall somewhere across Oklahoma on
Friday with a weak upper-level disturbance potential moving across
the southern Great Plains. While most will remain dry Friday into
the weekend, the return of rich Gulf moisture from the
south/southeast in addition to very weak ascent from the upper-
level disturbance may be sufficient for a stray shower or
thunderstorm Friday and/or Saturday afternoon (~10% chance).
Otherwise, expect sunny skies and summer heat to continue into
next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 446 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026
South/southeasterly flow (150-190) at 5-10 kts and VFR conditions
will prevail at all TAF sites for the duration of this forecast
period.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 101 81 101 81 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 100 78 100 76 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 98 75 100 76 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 102 78 101 79 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 101 77 101 79 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 100 82 102 81 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 101 76 101 76 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 98 78 101 75 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 100 77 99 75 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 100 74 100 75 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Darrah
LONG TERM....Darrah
AVIATION...Darrah
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
