Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
910
FXUS64 KFWD 311800
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1200 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected
today.
- A warm up will occur Sunday through early next week, with rain
chances returning to areas along and east of the I-35 corridor
on Tuesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026
It`s been a rather frigid morning across the region in the wake of
last night`s cold front. Temperatures are currently in the low to
mid 20s in North Texas and in the upper 20s to mid 30s in Central
Texas. A cold afternoon is expected, with highs only topping out
in the 30s for most areas under mostly sunny skies. Fortunately,
the breezy winds this morning are on a weakening trend, with wind
speeds decreasing to 5 to 10 mph this afternoon.
Another cold night is on tap for the region, with overnight lows
dropping into the upper teens to mid 20s areawide. Southerly winds
will return overnight, allowing temperatures to moderate on
Sunday. Afternoon highs will be quite a bit warmer, topping out in
the upper 40s across eastern North and Central Texas to low 60s
across the Big Country.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026
A brief warming trend will continue on Monday, with afternoon
temperatures returning to the 60s areawide. An upper level trough
will dig into the Southern Plains/Midwest on Tuesday, which will
usher a surface low towards the Mississippi Valley. Its attendant
cold front will sweep through the region Tuesday morning through
the afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and perhaps a couple
thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of the front, mainly
east of the I-35/35E corridor. Rain chances will end from
north to south with the arrival of the front during the
afternoon. Severe weather is not expected.
Slightly cooler temperatures will filter into the region behind
the front through mid-week, but a significant cool-down is not
expected with this front. Afternoon highs will be in the 50s and
60s Tuesday and Wednesday. Most of the effects of the cold front
will likely be felt during the morning hours, with a couple of
chilly mornings in the upper 20s and 30s on Wednesday and
Thursday. Another warming trend will close out the work week
Thursday and Friday, with afternoon temperatures returning to the
60s and 70s. There will be no chances for rain beyond Tuesday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 AM CST Sat Jan 31 2026
VFR conditions will continue through the period. North winds will
prevail through this evening, but wind speeds will be on a gradual
decline, decreasing to 5 knots or less around 00Z this evening.
Light winds will continue overnight and may be a bit variable at
times before they eventually switch out of the southeast around
or after 06Z. South winds will increase to 5 to 10 knots after 12Z
Sunday morning, with winds becoming slightly more southwesterly
Sunday afternoon.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 24 54 36 66 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 24 54 34 65 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 21 47 30 61 / 10 0 0 0
Denton 19 53 30 64 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 21 52 32 64 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 24 54 37 67 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 21 52 32 66 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 24 54 36 68 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 21 57 34 67 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 21 59 32 69 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Barnes
LONG TERM....Barnes
AVIATION...Barnes
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
