Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
044
FXUS64 KFWD 271148
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
548 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Widespread hazardous travel impacts due to remnant ice, sleet,
and snow on roads will continue through today.
- Life-threatening cold wind chills as low as 3 below zero this
morning will result in hypothermia and frostbite if precautions
are not taken.
- Freezing fog is possible Tuesday night which could cause light
ice accumulations.
- Below normal temperatures will persist through the next 7 days,
but no additional precipitation is expected through the
weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1243 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
Another dangerously cold morning is transpiring across North and
Central Texas with lows ranging from the single digits to mid
teens. The Extreme Cold Warning remains in effect across the
region through the morning. There will be a potential for freezing
fog to develop in the coming hours, mainly across western Central
Texas and our southeasterly counties where better low-level
moisture is currently in place. As of midnight, dew point
depressions within the aforementioned area have decreased to
around 1-4 degrees. If fog develops, it would be patchy in nature,
however, a thin coating of ice will accumulate wherever the fog
develops. Given the icy conditions already in place after our
winter storm, traveling continues to be discouraged unless
necessary as untreated surfaces remain coated with ice!
This afternoon, North and Central Texas will finally experience
widespread above freezing temperatures as full sunshine and
southerly winds lead to temperatures in the mid 30s to mid 40s.
This should yield a highly effective thaw across the region with
improvements to roads expected. The thawing period will come to an
end between 6-8 pm as freezing conditions return to the region
once again. Temperatures will be in the mid teens to mid 20s
across the region, ensuring any untreated surface refreezes for
the Wednesday morning commute.
A surface low will move along the Red river tonight, sending a
weak front across North Texas prior to sunrise Wednesday. Ahead of
the front, localized pooling of moisture will lead to the
development of freezing fog. Deposition of the super-cooled water
droplets on area surfaces will lead to a thin coating of ice on
untreated surfaces. Although accumulations will be minor due to
the freezing fog, icy/slick spots will be a concern come Wednesday
morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1243 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
The warming trend will continue Wednesday and Thursday as low-
level ridging dominates the weather across North and Central
Texas. Afternoon temperatures will be in the 40s on Wednesday with
50s returning to a large portion of the region on Thursday. Enjoy
these "warmer" days as our next weather system will be
approaching from the northwest late Thursday.
A surface low will be moving across Oklahoma on Thursday, dragging
another cold front southward into our region. Temperatures on
Friday will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s behind the initial push
of cooler air. A secondary wave of cold air will arrive Friday
night, keeping much of North Texas under freezing temperatures on
Saturday. Highs will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s along and
north of I-20. Meanwhile, Central Texas will stay above freezing,
however, temperatures will be hard to reach 40 degrees. The next
bout of cold air looks to be fairly transient as temperatures will
rebound into the 40s and 50s by Sunday. Thankfully, no
precipitation is expected while the region experiences sub-
freezing temperatures.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 532 AM CST Tue Jan 27 2026
The main weather concern through Wednesday morning will be the
development of freezing fog early Wednesday. Freezing fog will
not only cause visibility restrictions, but it will lead to a thin
layer of ice accumulations on all surfaces. At this time, the
potential for freezing fog looks to arrive around 09z Wednesday
with the arrival of a weak cold front. Winds will turn out of the
northeast with fog continuing rest of the morning. Improvement
will likely commence after 15z Wednesday.
Prior to the development of fog, weather conditions will remain
tranquil today with VFR and southerly winds.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 41 25 42 30 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 40 20 43 25 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 36 21 42 24 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 40 17 41 23 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 39 21 41 27 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 39 24 42 29 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 39 21 42 27 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 41 23 45 30 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 44 22 46 27 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 43 19 44 25 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.
Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST
Wednesday for TXZ142>145-156>160-174.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
