Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
781
FXUS64 KFWD 301019
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
519 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonably hot weather will continue this week with highs mainly
in the mid and upper 90s and peak heat index values near 100 to
105 degrees.
- Breezy south winds will continue another day with frequent gusts
of 25 to 30 mph.
- Rain chances may return Sunday into Monday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
North and Central Texas will remain beneath the western flank of a
mid level ridge currently centered over the Appalachians, keeping
temperatures 3-5 degrees above normal through midweek. At the
surface, a tight pressure gradient between high pressure across
the Deep South and low pressure along the Front Range will keep
breezy weather in place for at least another day, which should
hopefully lessen the effects of the hot weather. Despite the hot
and breezy weather, conditions are expected to remain below both
heat advisory and wind advisory criteria. Otherwise, any
convection over the next 36 hours should remain well northwest
across the Texas Panhandle or along the Gulf Coast associated with
the seabreeze.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1248 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
The mid level ridge off to our east will expand west across Texas
and the Southern Plains during the latter half of the week, which
may bump temperatures up another degree or two in time for the
holiday weekend. Isolated seabreeze showers and storms will be
possible across East Texas each day, but the vast majority of
North and Central Texas will stay hot and rain-free. A modest
breeze can also be expected each day, but a broader pressure
gradient will keep late week and weekend winds significantly
lighter than what we have experienced the past several days.
A weakness in the ridge aloft will develop overhead late in the
weekend, which will bring a return of rain chances Sunday and
Monday of next week. Convection will be diurnally driven and
disorganized, but should provide at least a few areas some
temporary relief from the summer heat. The weakness aloft will
shift west next Tuesday, shutting off rain chances and returning
the region to hot and dry weather by the middle of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 511 AM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
Low clouds have been patchy and short lived thus far this morning,
so will just keep a TEMPO for MVFR a couple hours (12-14Z). VFR
will resume by 15Z and continue through tonight. South winds will
be on the breezy side again today, but not quite as strong as the
past few days. Low ceilings will be pushed farther south and east
overnight tonight, so will forego mention of any MVFR for
Wednesday morning at this time. High pressure aloft will otherwise
maintain a quiet weather pattern through tomorrow.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 97 79 98 80 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 94 76 95 76 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 93 76 94 76 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 97 78 97 79 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 96 78 97 78 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 98 79 99 80 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 96 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 97 76 98 77 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 95 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 96 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...30
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
