Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
525
FXUS64 KFWD 241035
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
535 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures will warm back into the 80s and lower 90s through
mid week with a continued threat for grass fires across the
region.
- A cold front will arrive on Friday, bringing cooler air in time
for the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026
A weak surface front located just south of the I-20 corridor will
remain fairly stationary overnight, before slowly retreating north
on Tuesday. The return of south winds combined with the
positioning of an upper ridge off to the west will begin a warming
trend on Tuesday. An exception may be along the immediate Red
River, which may remain north of the front for most of the day,
keeping temperatures a few degrees cooler than the rest of the
region. Either way, Tuesday temperatures should still be above
normal area-wide, with highs ranging from the upper 70s near the
Red River to the upper 80s across western North Texas. Otherwise,
patchy fog may form Tuesday morning across Central Texas where the
higher dewpoints are, but should dissipate 10-11 am.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026
An upper ridge centered over the Desert Southwest will expand
eastward into Texas during the midweek period, maintaining a
warming trend through at least Thursday. Thursday highs should
range from the mid 80s in the southeast to the mid 90s across the
west. A slight weakening along the northeast flank of the ridge
will take place late Thursday and Friday as a longwave trough
deepens along the East Coast. This pattern shift will send a cold
front through the area on Friday. The positioning of the ridge
overhead will likely shut down any convective attempts along the
front, but a few light rain showers can`t be ruled out. Most of
the area will remain dry and breezy, with conditions turning
cooler Friday afternoon and evening behind the front. Cool air
advection and post-frontal clouds will likely keep Saturday
temperatures below normal, with a fairly quick rebound to above
normal temperatures expected on Sunday. Low rain chances finally
enter the picture with the arrival of an upper trough early to mid
next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 443 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026
Light east winds will veer to the south and increase to 10-15kt
around midday as a weak front retreats north. South winds and VFR
will continue through tonight, followed by a quick round of MVFR
ceilings at KACT Wednesday morning. Will need to keep an eye on
the northern and western extent of the Wednesday morning cloud
deck, but at this time it looks like MVFR will remain southeast of
the DFW Metroplex. Otherwise, and area of advection fog over
Southeast Texas is trying to spread farther inland, but will
likely remain east of KACT and well south of the Metroplex prior
to dissipation later this morning.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 84 63 89 64 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 86 63 88 62 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 77 59 86 62 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 84 60 87 61 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 82 62 87 63 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 85 64 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 83 61 87 62 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 85 63 89 64 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 88 62 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 87 58 90 60 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...30
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
