Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
696
FXUS64 KFWD 101046
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
546 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated showers and storms (10-20% chance) are possible across
parts of the Brazos Valley this afternoon and evening.
- Hot and humid conditions will continue this week and into the
weekend with highs in the 90s and peak heat indices in the
100-107 range.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms (50-60% chance) look to
return to the area the second half of this weekend into early
next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
North and Central Texas will remain beneath the northern
periphery of a 590-592 dam ridge through the short-term forecast
period. This will keep mostly dry, hot, muggy conditions over the
region through Thursday. Lee cyclogenesis over the Central Plains
will keep breezy south winds over our forecast area through
Thursday as well, gusting to 25-30 mph at times. Very isolated
seabreeze convection may push into our Brazos Valley counties
Wednesday afternoon and early evening (10-20% chance), but most
locations will remain dry. Expect afternoon highs in the low to
mid 90s both days with peak heat indices approaching 100-107
degrees each day (more widespread 105+ degrees on Thursday). It
is possible that a Heat Advisory will be necessary by Thursday or
Friday if the current forecasted heat index values remain on
track.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1252 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
By early Friday, strong troughing over the northern Great Plains
will send a cold front south toward North Texas. This front will
likely stall near or just north of the Red River by sunrise Friday
morning, but will provide a focus for scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of I-20 through at least midday Friday. Most
of the region will remain dry during the afternoon with another
hot and humid day on tap with heat indices approaching 100-107
degrees. Make sure that you are taking the proper precautions to
keep you and your loved ones safe from heat-related illnesses,
especially if you have plans that require you to be outside for
prolonged periods of time. Take breaks in the shade or A/C and
remember to drink plenty of water!
Saturday will feature mostly dry and hot conditions as the region
remains beneath subtle ridging between two upper-level
disturbances. However, by Sunday a more robust system is expected
to dive toward the Southern Plains increasing the chance for
several rounds of thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into at least
Tuesday. A very moist environment and modest wind shear will
support heavy rainfall and even an isolated severe weather threat,
so make sure you are following the forecast over the next several
days.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 547 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026
MVFR cigs have reached the I-20 corridor and will continue through
15Z-16Z this morning before lifting and scattering out to VFR
status. Expect south winds at 10-15 kts gusting to 25 kts to
prevail through the TAF period. Isolated seabreeze showers and
storms may approach parts of the Brazos Valley later this
afternoon and evening but should remain southeast of KACT. Another
round of MVFR cigs will spread across much of North and Central
Texas late Wednesday night into Thursday morning.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 94 78 95 79 / 0 0 0 10
Waco 92 77 93 77 / 10 0 0 0
Paris 90 77 92 77 / 0 0 0 50
Denton 93 78 95 79 / 0 0 0 30
McKinney 91 78 94 79 / 0 0 0 20
Dallas 94 78 97 80 / 0 0 0 10
Terrell 92 77 94 78 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 93 77 96 77 / 10 0 0 0
Temple 92 77 94 77 / 10 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 94 76 96 77 / 0 0 0 10
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
