Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
729
FXUS64 KFWD 262353
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
653 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A brief cool down will take place late Friday & Saturday with
the arrival of a cold front. Conditions warm back to above
normal Sunday onward.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026
The ridge responsible for our warm weather over the last couple
of days will begin to degrade today as a shortwave rounds its
northern periphery. The impacts from this degradation will not be
felt today, however, notable changes will be happening tomorrow.
For today, given the continued influence of the ridge, expect
another warm afternoon with highs in the 80s to lower 90s. This
morning`s cloudy conditions will give way to mostly sunny skies
with breezy southerly winds throughout the day. The gusts will
gradually subside tonight, however, sustained winds will still be
around 10-15 mph.
Heading into tomorrow, the aforementioned shortwave and it`s
coupled surface low will send a cold front surging southward into
our region. The latest suite of models suggest this front will
arrive to our region during the late morning to early afternoon
hours which will lead to high temperatures occurring slightly
earlier than normal. As the front moves through, winds will shift
out of the north with a gradual decrease in temperatures
throughout the day. Additionally, a few showers cannot be ruled
out behind the front due to weak isentropic ascent. Given the
front won`t arrive to our Brazos Valley counties until late in the
afternoon, those locations can expect highs in the mid 80s.
With cold air advection in place behind the front, Friday night`s
temperatures will be in the 40s and 50s. The cooler conditions
will remain west of I-35 where the bulk of the cooler air will
reside. Nonetheless, if you plan on being outside early Saturday
morning, you might want to grab that light jacket before heading
out the door.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026
The cool weather will continue during the day on Saturday with
northeasterly to easterly winds in place. Highs will be in the
60s across much of the region with mostly cloudy skies throughout
the day.
Pressure falls along the front range will ensure our winds return
out of the south on Sunday. This will transition our region back
into a warming regime with highs in the mid 80s to finish our the
weekend.
In the mid-levels, a notable change will begin to take shape as
the ridge responsible for our heat translates to the southeast
over the Gulf. This shift will be driven by an approaching trough
our of the Pacific that will likely lead to a slightly more active
weather pattern the latter half of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 646 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026
VFR will prevail through this evening with gusty south winds
gradually easing after sunset, though sustained speeds near 10-15
kt will persist overnight. MVFR ceilings are expected to
redevelop late tonight, arriving around 08-09Z at Waco and closer
to 10-12Z across the Metroplex terminals. A cold front will then
move through the region Friday morning into early afternoon,
shifting winds to the north with gusts increasing into the 20-30
kt range behind the boundary. Post-frontal stratus will linger
through much of the day and a few light showers or sprinkles may
also accompany the front, but impacts to area airports should
remain brief and minimal. Gusts will become less frequent and
wind speeds will ease across North Texas late in the TAF period
as the tightened, post-frontal surface gradient pushes into
Central Texas.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 64 70 53 64 / 0 10 20 0
Waco 63 79 55 68 / 0 10 10 0
Paris 61 69 50 63 / 0 10 10 0
Denton 61 66 50 63 / 0 20 20 0
McKinney 63 67 52 63 / 0 10 10 0
Dallas 64 72 54 65 / 0 10 20 0
Terrell 63 72 52 65 / 0 10 10 0
Corsicana 64 79 55 68 / 0 10 10 0
Temple 63 81 54 69 / 0 10 10 0
Mineral Wells 60 65 48 63 / 0 20 20 10
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...12
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
