Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas

535
FXUS64 KFWD 022254
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
554 PM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot but less humid conditions will continue through Monday with
  temperatures increasing through Tuesday. No significant rain
  chances are expected through the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

A seasonably hot day is expected today with sunny skies and a
persistent north wind. Northerly mid level flow around the
periphery of stronger ridging will keep dry air in place across
North Texas. Afternoon dewpoints will generally be in the mid to
upper 50s. With high temperatures today expected to be in the mid
90s, it`ll actually feel rather pleasant for the middle of summer.
Mid level ridging will expand eastward on Monday and temperatures
will respond upward with highs near 100 degrees. Deep boundary
layer mixing will keep dewpoints in the upper 50s and lower 60s
which will preclude the need for a Heat Advisory.

Dunn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Ridging will continue to expand across the Southern Plains through
the middle of the week with Tuesday still expected to be the
hottest day of the week. An expanding 925-850 mb thermal ridge and
generally light winds will allow highs to top out in the 101-103
degree range Tuesday afternoon. Deep mixing will again allow
dewpoints to fall sufficiently that heat indices should be near
ambient air temperatures. Moisture will slowly tick upward through
the latter part of the week with some indication of the ridge
again retreating westward by next weekend. Heat indices will
respond upward during this time and we`ll likely need heat
advisories sometime later this week. Rain chances will remain near
zero but may nudge upward just a bit by next weekend particularly
across our east and southeast counties.

Dunn

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 552 PM CDT Sun Aug 2 2026

Very light north/northeast winds will return to southeasterly
later this evening at all airports, likely around 03-04z. There
are no other aviation concerns through the period, with VFR/SKC
skies and a light southeast wind prevailing through Monday.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    75 100  78 102 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                72  99  76  99 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               69  95  72  98 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              71 100  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            71  99  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              75 101  78 103 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             71  99  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           72  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              72  99  74  99 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       69 102  72 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Dunn
LONG TERM....Dunn
AVIATION...Stalley

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion