Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
459
FXUS64 KFWD 301802
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
102 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonably hot weather will continue this week with highs mainly
in the mid and upper 90s and peak heat index values near 100 to
105 degrees.
- Breezy south winds will continue through Tuesday afternoon with
frequent gusts of 25 to 30 mph.
- Rain chances may return Sunday into Monday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
Another hot and humid day across North Central Texas today as we
remain beneath a 594 dam 500 mb ridge, resulting in little to no
precipitation throughout the region. Current visible satellite
imagery continues to show horizontal convective rolls and associated
shallow cumulus that are moving in from the SSW, primarily south and
east of the Metroplex. ACARS soundings from KDFW indicate a shallow
moist layer extending up to 925 mb, with nearly 40 degree dewpoint
depressions atop the low-level moisture. As we currently are seeing
dewpoints in the low 70s to even mid 70s across the DFW Metroplex,
we can expect some of this drier air to mix down to the surface into
the afternoon as daytime heating maximizes. While far from a
comfortable day, this should at least make conditions feel slightly
less sticky, as dewpoints will likely decrease into the mid to upper
60s into the afternoon and early evening.
Tonight will be similar to the last few nights, with a gradual
increase in surface dewpoint and humidity as the boundary layer
decouples after sunset. Can expect overnight lows in the upper 70s
for the Metroplex, and low to mid 70s elsewhere under mostly clear
skies. SSE winds will decrease to around 10 knots before increasing
to around 15 knots into the morning hours. Wednesday will be similar
to today as the ridge axis slowly shifts towards the east, resulting
in slim chances for any meaningful rainfall.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Tue Jun 30 2026
The long term period will begin on the western periphery of a mid-
level ridge centered over the Southern Appalachians, bringing us
seasonably hot and mostly dry conditions across North Central Texas.
There is a hint of a couple of moisture surges and Thursday and
Friday, mainly east of I-35, however confidence is low enough (
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
