Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
538
FXUS64 KFWD 111115
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
515 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above-normal temperatures return today and Friday.
- A strong cold front will bring colder temperatures on Sunday
with highs in the upper 40s and 50s.
- Rain chances will increase slightly through the middle of next
week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday)
Issued at 1113 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
Surface high pressure is currently centered right over North Texas
with light winds and mostly clear skies allowing temperatures to
fall into the low 30s in some spots. Clear calm nights can often
result in significant temperature variances across small distances
and we`re seeing that tonight with readings varying as much as 11
degrees over a few miles. Some thin high cloud cover is streaming
through our Red River counties and this will continue into the
morning hours. Thursday should feature mostly sunny skies beneath
a dry northwest flow aloft. A surface low deepening in the Central
Plains will allow winds to become southerly later this morning and
increase to 10-15 mph this afternoon. This system will move east
tonight and another weak cold front will slide southward through
the area on Friday. Little temperature change is expected behind
this front, but winds will become northerly through the day.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1113 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025
A strong Great Lakes trough will progress eastward on Saturday and
send a 1044 mb surface high into the mid-Mississippi Valley by
Saturday evening. Leading this surge of high pressure will be
a strong cold front that will move through North Texas Saturday
evening. Brisk northeast winds and much cooler air will spill
southward Saturday night. This front should also come through
generally dry, but there will be more cloud cover associated with
the cold air behind the front. These clouds will likely linger
into early Sunday accompanied by some very light rain chances
across our eastern counties late Saturday night into the morning
hours on Sunday. Sunday will be cold with most areas struggling to
get out of the 40s and wind chills remaining in the 30s for much
of the day. We`ll be watching another upstream disturbance spread
in from the west on Tuesday which will likely result in some
increasing rain chances particularly east of I-35 through the mid
week period.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 513 AM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
Near calm winds will prevail for another few hours under a canopy
of thin high clouds. South winds will increase to around 10 kt
later this morning and continue into tonight. Another weak front
will approach the region tomorrow around midday and we`ll have
winds coming back around to the north around 17Z Friday. VFR will
prevail through the period with no significant aviation concerns
expected.
Dunn
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 65 44 67 41 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 65 44 71 45 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 60 42 64 39 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 66 40 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 64 42 66 38 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 65 46 68 42 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 64 42 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 66 46 71 46 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 67 43 73 45 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 70 42 71 37 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
