Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
425
FXUS64 KFWD 051122
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
522 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Clouds and cool weather continue today. Areas of fog are
expected tonight into Saturday.
- Near to below normal temperatures will continue through Monday,
with above normal temperatures expected the rest of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 1151 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
Satellite imagery shows a steady stream of high clouds across
Texas tonight with thicker low clouds beneath. This tap into
Pacific moisture is thanks to strong southwest flow aloft ahead of
an elongated trough axis. At the surface, a weak southerly flow is
trying to become established late tonight. As it does, winds
above the surface will become more southwesterly allowing the
lower cloud cover to erode a bit. While forcing for ascent is only
modest at best, areas of light precipitation are ongoing across
parts of Central and South Texas. The bulk of any light rain will
remain out of our area but we can`t rule out a few sprinkles or
very light rain across our Central TX counties through morning.
The rest of the day Friday should feature mostly cloudy skies with
temperatures ranging from the lower 50s across our east to the
lower 60s in the west where clouds will thin through the day.
Later Friday night, an influx of lower 40s dewpoints will spread
north of I-20 into relatively cooler air thanks to strengthening
southerly flow. This moisture surge will likely lead to the rapid
development of low clouds and fog, particularly north of I-20 and
across our eastern counties. As a trailing shortwave swings
through the Southern Plains, drier air will work into North Texas
from the west early Saturday and should start to erode some of
this cloud cover, however, there may be a substantial temperature
gradient from west to east depending on how long the clouds
linger. Highs may range from the mid 50s in the east to the lower
70s out west.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1151 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025
After Saturday, the weather pattern looks to remain fairly benign
for this time of year with surface high pressure in place across
the eastern CONUS through Tuesday and mid level ridging building
across the Southwest U.S. This should keep the Southern Plains
beneath dry northwest flow aloft with little chance for
precipitation and steadily warming temperatures through the middle
of the week.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 518 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025
Low clouds continue to erode as drier low level air spreads in
from the west, however extensive mid and high cloud cover will
persist through the rest of the day today. Some reduced visibility
is noted this morning in outlying areas but most airports are
above 5SM at this time. VFR will prevail through most of the day
today with southerly winds around 5-10 kt. An influx of moisture
into the cool night tonight will lead to areas of fog after
midnight. We`ll have MVFR vis after 9Z at all airports although
there is potential for some dense fog with IFR possible through
mid Saturday morning.
Dunn
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 54 41 62 43 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 54 42 66 46 / 10 0 0 0
Paris 49 35 56 41 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 54 36 60 38 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 52 38 60 40 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 54 41 60 44 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 52 39 62 42 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 54 41 66 47 / 10 0 0 0
Temple 55 41 71 45 / 10 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 60 37 66 40 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
