Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
678
FXUS64 KFWD 101828
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1228 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Breezy northwest winds will continue today with much cooler
temperatures expected today and tonight.
- There will be an increased threat for grass fires mainly west of
I-35 this afternoon due to breezy conditions and low humidity.
- Seasonal temperatures are expected this weekend into next week
with little chance for additional rainfall.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Winter has returned to North Central Texas today, at least in a
seasonal temperature sense, though the duration of this latest
visit will be short-lived. Strong northwesterly winds will
continue to deliver a fetch of chilly polar air into the region
this afternoon, with highs struggling to nose upward into the 50s
later today. While wind chills aren`t technically calculated for
ambient temperatures above 50, the presence of wind gusts in
excess of 20 mph will certainly add a perceived chilling effect to
those engaging in outdoor activities today. A mass of post-
frontal stratus over the eastern North Texas should erode steadily
through early afternoon, leaving clear skies areawide later today
through tonight.
After a chilly night tonight, featuring sub-freezing lows in many
areas outside of the Metroplex, Sunday`s highs will creep upward
into the upper 50s and lower 60s. While cooler than those seen in
many recent days, these values are still several degrees above
normal for mid-January.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
North Texas will be under the influence of a persistent dry,
northwesterly upper level flow regime throughout the upcoming
week. While any arctic air should be held at bay to the north of
our region, this pattern will facilitate at least a couple of cold
front passages which will deliver reinforcing shots of seasonably
cool air to North Texas.
While organized precipitation is not expected through the period,
ensemble solutions do advertise the presence of a weak cutoff
upper low over Baja California which will open up and drift into
South Texas by Wednesday. This feature will likely bring some mid
and upper level cloudiness into our Central Texas counties Tuesday
into Wednesday, and some virga or even light sprinkles aren`t out
of the question during this period. Elsewhere, clear skies will
largely rule area through the week, providing sunny, cool days,
and clear chilly nights.
Daytime highs should hover in the 60s for most of the week, but
increased amplification of the upper pattern, with a deepening
low evolving over the Southeast U.S. will contribute to cooler
highs in the upper 40s and lower 50s by next Saturday. This
cooler trend will likely perist through next weekend, before
another moderating trend ensues during the following work week.
Winter continues to make brief forays into our region, but the
occurrence of a truly cold air spell, coupled with winter
precipitation, still doesn`t appear to be in the offing - at least
not anytime soon.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites today through Sunday,
as a large polar high pressure area builds across the area. A deck
of post-frontal stratocumulus cloudiness east of D10 will
steadily erode through 22z, leaving clear conditions across all of
North Central Texas. A tight pressure gradient across the region
will promote northwest winds averaging 12-16 knots, gusting at
times to 28 knots through sunset. These winds should diminish
after 00z as the gradient relaxes tonight. Sunday will feature
northwest to north winds around 10 knots throughout D10 and Waco, from
12z to 00z.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1120 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 37 59 37 64 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 34 59 35 59 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 35 53 31 59 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 31 58 31 64 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 33 57 33 61 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 37 59 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 34 59 33 61 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 36 61 36 61 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 33 61 35 62 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 30 61 32 66 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Bradshaw
LONG TERM....Bradshaw
AVIATION...Bradshaw
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
