Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
089
FXUS64 KFWD 231709
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1209 PM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures will warm back into the 80s and lower 90s through
mid week with a continued threat for grass fires across the
region.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1158 AM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026
As expected, yesterday`s front has stalled prior to clearing our
Brazos Valley counties. Areas north of the front continue to
experience north to northeasterly winds. Meanwhile, south of the
front, southwesterly winds remain in place. The different air
masses will lead to cooler temperatures in the north with warmer
temperatures across the Brazos Valley.
By this evening, the frontal boundary will mix out enough for
southerly winds to return to much of the region. This should set
the region back in a warm air advection regime that will influence
our sensible weather through the rest of the work week. Tomorrow`s
highs are expected to be in the 80s with a light southerly breeze
much of the day.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 1158 AM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026
Mid-level ridging will be in control by the middle of the week,
deflecting all weather systems away from North and Central Texas.
In the lower levels, persistent southerly flow will ensure
afternoon highs climb into the 80s and 90s both Wednesday and
Thursday. Given the relatively dry conditions in place, there will
be a continued threat for initial attack-type grass fires through
the weekend.
A cold front is slated to move southward Friday afternoon,
however, no precipitation is expected given a lack of moisture.
Temperatures on Saturday are expected to cool into the upper 60s
to lower 70s. This cool down will be brief as southerly winds
return on Sunday and temperatures climb into the 80s and 90s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1158 AM CDT Mon Mar 23 2026
VFR and northerly winds are ongoing across all TAF sites in North
and Central Texas with some high clouds continuing to stream
across the sky. Over the next 30 hours, the main weather impact
will be the gradual transition from northerly winds to southerly
winds. This transition will be slow with winds expected to be out
of the east closer to 05z. By 15z, winds across the region will
mostly be southerly around 10 kts.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 58 81 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 59 85 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 54 72 56 85 / 10 0 0 0
Denton 53 79 58 87 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 56 77 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 59 81 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 57 79 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 60 83 63 87 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 57 85 62 88 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 53 84 58 89 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
