Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
683
FXUS64 KFWD 121854
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1254 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy fog will develop tonight across eastern North and Central
Texas
- Above normal temperatures will continue through Saturday,
before a strong cold front brings colder temperatures on Sunday
with highs in the 40s and 50s.
- Abnormally warm temperatures will return to the region by the
middle of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1240 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
After a foggy morning across eastern parts of North and Central
Texas, remnant clouds will continue to disperse through the rest
of the afternoon as a weak cold front gradually pushes southward.
Given negligible cold air advection, temperatures today will once
again be above normal. Highs will climb into the mid 60s across
North Texas with lower 70s in Central Texas.
The front will stall across Central Texas this afternoon given
its lack of support. This evening and overnight, a surface low
along the Gulf coast will draw moisture into Central Texas as the
front begins to retreat northward. The northward retreat overnight
will once again lead to patchy fog across Central and East Texas
through Saturday mid-morning.
Saturday afternoon`s highs will be similar to today with values
ranging from the mid 60s to lower 70s. Do not be fooled though, a
strong cold front will be moving through during the late evening
hours, leading to a sharp temperature swing going into Saturday
night.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1240 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
As mentioned in the short-term discussion, a strong front will be
moving across North and Central Texas during the evening and
overnight hours. A few showers may develop as the front interacts
with better moisture content across Central Texas. Precipitation
will not be widespread with rain chances diminishing after
sunrise.
The front`s arrival means temperatures will decrease as winds
increase. By Sunday morning, temperatures will be in the mid 20s
to lower 30s in North Texas with mid 30s to mid 40s in Central
Texas. Sustained winds of around 20 mph with a few gusts closer to
30 mph will add a chill to the air; wind chills across North
Texas will be in the teens to mid 20s.
The coldest daytime temperatures will be on Sunday as the area of
high pressure to our north funnels cold air into our region.
Temperatures Sunday night will be in the mid 20s to lower 30s with
practically all of North and Central Texas experiencing freezing
temperatures.
The bulk of the cold air will not last long as southerly winds
return by Monday. This will commence a warming trend with
temperatures climbing above normal by the middle of the week.
Wednesday onward, expected highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s with
southerly winds below 15 mph.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
VFR is ongoing across North and Central Texas. A weak cold front
moved through North Texas this morning, leading to light north to
northeasterly winds. Winds will remain out of the northeast
through tomorrow morning. For Central Texas. Winds remain out of
the south, however, the front will turn winds out of the northeast
AOB 5 kts closer to 22z.
Tonight, moisture return will lead to low clouds and patchy fog
across eastern North and Central Texas. There is enough guidance
suggesting MVFR will impact KACT and eastern parts of the DFW
Metroplex to include it in the TAF. Further forecasts will
continue assessing the westward extent of the low clouds and
adjustments to the forecast can be expected through tonight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 42 63 33 44 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 48 67 42 50 / 0 10 10 0
Paris 40 59 33 44 / 0 0 10 0
Denton 35 63 28 44 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 39 63 31 44 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 43 65 34 47 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 43 65 36 47 / 0 10 10 0
Corsicana 50 68 43 52 / 0 10 20 0
Temple 49 68 43 52 / 10 10 10 0
Mineral Wells 37 68 31 47 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
