Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
415
FXUS64 KFWD 211754
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1154 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Slightly cooler and windy conditions are expected today.
Northwest winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
- Following a few chilly mornings with near or below freezing low
temperatures, above normal temperatures and rain-free conditions
are expected through much of next week.
- A return to elevated fire weather conditions may occur Tuesday
through Thursday as above normal temperatures return with breezy
southwesterly winds.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through tonight)
Issued at 1139 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026
High clouds continue to shift away from North and Central Texas,
leaving behind clear skies through the afternoon. After last
night`s cold front, expect temperatures today to remain in the 50s
and 60s across the region. As we continue through the afternoon
hours, gusty winds will persist with a few gusts closer to 30-35
mph. Winds are expected to gradually subside after sunset,
settling at around 10-13 mph through the night.
Clear skies and diminishing winds will lead to fairly chilly
conditions tonight with many locations dropping into freezing
territory. Areas with the most widespread freezing conditions will
be west of I-35. North and northeast of the DFW Metroplex may also
see a scattering of freezing temperatures, however, not everyone
will drop below 32 degrees. The vast majority of the DFW Metroplex
should remain above freezing thanks to the heat island effect.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 1139 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026
High pressure will overtake the western half of the country,
leading to tranquil weather conditions across our region. With
northerly flow continuing during the day tomorrow, another cool
day is expected as highs remain in the 50s to lower 60s across the
region. By early Monday morning, freezing conditions are expected
across much of the region. With the recent bout of warm weather,
if you brought your plants outdoors, make sure to bring them back
indoors to protect them from the cold! Similar weather conditions
are expected on Monday compared to Sunday, however, a warming
trend will commence on Tuesday.
Along with the warmer temperatures expected by the middle of next
week, drier air will impact western parts of North and Central
Texas Tuesday through Thursday, raising the potential for grass
fire starts. Minimum relative humidity values will be in the lower
20s with breezy southwesterly winds. The warmest day will likely
be Wednesday as much of the region climbs into the mid 80s.
Although this is going to be about 20 degrees above normal,
temperatures will be 10-12 degrees below record values.
By Thursday, a cold front is expected to move south across the
region, however, given the lack of cold air, above normal
temperatures will persist through the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1139 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026
This morning`s stratus has shifted east of North and Central
Texas, leaving behind clear to mostly clear skies. Heading into
the rest of the day, expect winds to continue to increase to near
20 kts with a few gusts near 30 kts through the afternoon. The
elevated winds speeds will diminish after sunset, settling around
10-13 kts.
Expect weather conditions to remain tranquil through the rest of
the night with continued northerly winds and VFR conditions to
finish out this TAF cycle.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 36 59 33 59 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 36 61 31 61 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 33 55 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 29 58 28 58 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 32 57 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 37 60 34 60 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 33 58 29 58 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 37 61 32 61 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 34 62 32 63 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 30 60 29 63 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
