Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
746
FXUS64 KFWD 111056
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
556 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Isolated showers and storms will be possible overnight into
Friday across parts of Central and North Texas.
- Above normal temperatures will continue into next week with most
areas rain-free this weekend and beyond.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026
Earlier convection has largely died off across the region with a
remnant frontal boundary/outflow generally along the I-20 corridor
at this hour. Modest low level convergence along this boundary
within an area of weak ascent aloft downstream from a shortwave
moving through the Central and Southern Plains should aid in a few
additional showers developing through the overnight hours. This
boundary will generally remain in place over the next 12 hours and
may serve as a focus for additional convection during the day
Friday, although coverage is expected to be less than today. We`ll
keep additional rain chances around 20%. Intermittent thicker
cloud cover and overall lower heights should shave a few degrees
off of high temperatures for Friday with highs generally in the
upper 90s.
Mid level ridging will again expand across the Southern Plains
into the weekend with rain chances dwindling back down toward zero
and high temperatures nudging upward a few degrees. Most areas
should be at or above 100 degrees again through the weekend.
Despite a few sites likely to reach 105 heat index values both
today and Saturday, we`ll hold off on any widespread heat
advisories for the region for the time being.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1247 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026
Little change is expected to the forecast into next week with well
above normal temperatures and near zero rain chances forecast
through Wednesday. Mid level ridging will expand across the
Southern Plains and eventually into the Southeast U.S. by mid
week. This should keep daily high temperatures right around 100
degrees with any limited rain chances confined to our far
southeast counties where remnant sea breeze activity may be able
to push into. Otherwise, little relief is expected anytime soon to
the hot and dry conditions.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 550 AM CDT Fri Sep 11 2026
VFR conditions are expected to prevail for the period. Winds will be
generally out of the south at 5-10 kts.
Isolated shower and thunderstorm development will be possible today
as weak synoptic ascent transits the region. Probability remains too
low to warrant TAF inclusion at this time.
Dornsife
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 98 79 101 79 / 20 10 0 0
Waco 99 76 100 76 / 20 10 0 0
Paris 93 73 99 74 / 40 10 10 0
Denton 97 76 101 76 / 20 10 0 0
McKinney 96 75 100 75 / 20 10 0 0
Dallas 99 79 101 80 / 20 10 0 0
Terrell 97 75 100 75 / 20 10 0 0
Corsicana 97 76 99 76 / 20 0 0 0
Temple 99 75 100 75 / 20 10 0 0
Mineral Wells 99 73 102 74 / 20 10 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
