Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
362
FXUS64 KFWD 112334
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
534 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above-normal temperatures expected today and Friday. Areas of
fog will be possible across the Brazos Valley Friday morning.
- A strong cold front will bring colder temperatures on Sunday
with highs in the 40s and 50s.
- Abnormally warm temperatures will return to the region by the
middle of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
South-southwesterly low-level flow will lead to a couple of days
of above-average temperatures in the short-term forecast period.
Expect high temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s across most of
North and Central Texas both today and Friday. Boundary-layer
moisture will quickly increase early Friday across parts of
Central Texas and the Brazos Valley ahead of a weak cold front
that is expected to stall near the Highway 84 corridor by Friday
evening. Patchy fog will be possible Friday morning in our
southeastern zones. Little change but a light northerly wind shift
is expected with this frontal passage.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
Low clouds will increase in coverage across Central Texas into
Friday night with light precipitation possible near and south of
the aforementioned boundary, primarily in our Brazos Valley
Counties, Saturday into Sunday. A stronger push of cold and dry
air will arrive Saturday night dropping temperatures into the mid
20s along the Red River by early Sunday morning. Temperatures will
struggle to escape the 40s along and north of the I-20 corridor on
Sunday with low 50s likely down in Central Texas. Widespread
freezing temperatures are expected Sunday night with another
chilly day of widespread 50s likely on Monday. Increasing south-
southwesterly gradient flow ahead of our next compact upper trough
will draw greater quality moisture northward over the region and
tick temperatures back to above-average by Tuesday. Lift
associated with this passing synoptic feature may lead to the
development of isolated to scattered showers, primarily east of
I-35, Tuesday and Wednesday. However, if this upper-level
trough/low passes south of our region into northern Mexico (as
highlighted by the ECMWF), then rain chances will likely remain
near zero. Nonetheless, a prolonged period of southerly low-level
flow will lead to an extended stretch of above-normal temperatures
with afternoon highs approaching/exceeding 70 degrees by
Wednesday of next week. There is a ~40% chance that afternoon
highs approach 80 degrees in Central Texas by next weekend, which
would place temperatures near 20 degrees above average for this
time of year.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 531 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with only a few
passing high clouds expected. Light southerly winds will continue
overnight, generally around 10 kt or less. A weak frontal boundary
will sag southward through North Texas tomorrow, resulting in a
wind shift to the north around 8 kt by 17-18Z at the Metroplex
terminals. No precipitation or ceilings are expected with the
boundary, and confidence remains high in continued VFR through
Friday evening.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 45 67 43 63 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 44 71 48 68 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 42 64 41 59 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 41 67 37 63 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 42 67 40 62 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 46 68 44 65 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 43 68 44 65 / 0 0 0 10
Corsicana 47 71 49 68 / 0 0 0 10
Temple 43 71 49 70 / 0 0 0 10
Mineral Wells 42 70 38 68 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...12
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
