Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
875
FXUS64 KFWD 141251
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
651 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- An elevated fire weather threat will likely materialize both Wednesday
and Friday afternoons associated with dry and windy conditions
behind cold fronts.
- Seasonably cool conditions will continue through the weekend.
- Low rain chances (10-20%) look to return to areas south of I-20
and east of I-35 mid-week next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 1217 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026
A cold front currently pushing into southern Oklahoma will
continue racing southward into North Texas tonight, reaching the
I-20 corridor before daybreak and Central Texas during the
Wednesday morning commute to work. No rain is expected with this
frontal passage, but sustained northwesterly winds at 15-20 mph
gusting to 30 mph at times will spread across the region by mid-
morning Wednesday behind this boundary and continue through late
Wednesday evening. Gusty north winds will keep temperatures down
in the mid 50s to low 60s Wednesday afternoon across North and
Central Texas despite plentiful sunshine. Gusty northwest winds
behind the cold front will combine with dry, finer fuels to
produce an elevated fire weather threat across much of the area
Wednesday afternoon, especially along and west of the I-35
corridor. Afternoon humidity greater than 35% and seasonably cool
temperatures will keep this threat on the lower end, but caution
should be taken to avoid any sparks and new fire starts.
Wind gusts will diminish late Wednesday evening with surface winds
falling below 5 mph by early Thursday morning. Light winds and
mostly clear skies will allow for a night of efficient radiational
cooling leading to widespread freezing/near-freezing temperatures
by sunrise Thursday. Winds will quickly shift back out of the
southwest during the day Thursday as surface troughing over the
Plains shunts high-pressure toward the Rio Grande Valley. Expect
temperatures to rise into the mid to upper 60s west of I-35
Thursday afternoon with many locations east of I-35 struggling to
escape the 50s due to a delayed southwesterly response in the
surface wind fields.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1217 AM CST Wes Jan 14 2026
Another dry cold front is expected to push through North and
Central Texas during the day Friday bringing more gusty northwest
winds and an elevated fire weather threat to the region during the
afternoon. Persistent northerly flow aided by mid/upper troughing
over the Plains will lead to a cool weekend with temperatures in
the 50s Saturday and Sunday afternoons and widespread freezing
temperatures both Saturday and Sunday morning. Looking ahead, the
forecast remains dry through at least early next week, but there
are some signals in the extended ensemble guidance for some light
precipitation in the Wednesday-Thursday timeframe next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 527 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period at all North
and Central Texas terminals. Our advertised cold front has already pushed
through North Texas this morning and will reach KACT within the
next hour. Expect sustained north-northwesterly winds at 15-20 kts
gusting to 30 kts at times through this evening with winds
subsiding during the overnight. Looking ahead, surface winds will
shift back out of the southwest after daybreak Thursday morning.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 60 34 60 42 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 62 33 60 43 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 56 27 53 37 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 59 28 60 37 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 59 28 57 39 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 61 34 60 45 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 61 28 57 39 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 64 32 59 42 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 64 32 62 40 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 61 30 65 39 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Langfeld
LONG TERM....Langfeld
AVIATION...Langfeld
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
