Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas

854
FXUS64 KFWD 040947
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
447 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures will remain near or slightly above normal this week
  into the weekend.

- A stray shower or thunderstorm can`t be ruled out Friday and
  Saturday (~10% chance).

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

Near to slightly above normal high temperatures will continue
across North and Central Texas with highs ranging from the
upper-90s into the lower-100s. Due to the dry airmass in place
with dewpoints in the 50s and lower-60s, overnight lows tonight
may overperform again. Have lowered lows (particularly outside
urban areas) several degrees coolers than the current NBM with
low to mid-70s for much of the area. Continued high pressure and
ridging overhead will keep the forecast for this time period dry
with very little in the way of clouds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1157 PM CDT Mon Aug 3 2026

The upper-level ridge currently centered over the southern Rockies
will slowly retrograde westward during this time period. As such,
temperatures look to trend slightly cooler to be near-normal by
this weekend (highs in the upper-90s).

A weak cold front will likely stall somewhere across Oklahoma on
Friday with a weak upper-level disturbance potential moving across
the southern Great Plains. While most will remain dry Friday into
the weekend, the return of rich Gulf moisture from the
south/southeast in addition to very weak ascent from the upper-
level disturbance may be sufficient for a stray shower or
thunderstorm Friday and/or Saturday afternoon (~10% chance).
Otherwise, expect sunny skies and summer heat to continue into
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 446 AM CDT Tue Aug 4 2026

South/southeasterly flow (150-190) at 5-10 kts and VFR conditions
will prevail at all TAF sites for the duration of this forecast
period.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth   101  81 101  81 /   0   0   0   0
Waco               100  78 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               98  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Denton             102  78 101  79 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney           101  77 101  79 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas             100  82 102  81 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell            101  76 101  76 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           98  78 101  75 /   0   0   0   0
Temple             100  77  99  75 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells      100  74 100  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Darrah
LONG TERM....Darrah
AVIATION...Darrah

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion