Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
619
FXUS64 KFWD 111113
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
513 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- High cloud cover will stream across the region for the next
several days. Little chance for rainfall is expected.
- Seasonal temperatures are expected for the next several days.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 1147 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
High pressure continues to build into the Southern Plains behind
yesterday`s cold front. We`ll remain on the eastern periphery of
the center so we`ll maintain some light northwesterly winds
overnight into early Sunday morning. Outlying areas that have seen
winds go calm in a few spots have also seen temperatures drop. A
few spots are already in the upper 20s. Most areas will see lows
early Sunday morning in the low to mid 30s.
Water vapor imagery show a large upper trough slowly digging into
northwest Mexico at this hour. An 80 kt upper jet is tapped into
eastern Pacific moisture which is quickly streaming across the
southern half of Texas tonight. This upper trough is going to be
slow to move through Monday, so we`ve raised total cloud cover a
bit for both Sunday and Monday. These will mainly be high clouds,
but could be thick at times resulting in overcast conditions. No
precipitation is expected through Monday.
Temperatures will remain near seasonal norms with highs in the low
60s both Sunday and Monday.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1147 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026
The upper trough over northwest Mexico will compact in size by
Monday night and begin to spread eastward into Texas. Modest
isentropic ascent will result in cloud cover thickening and
lowering late Monday night and early Tuesday, particularly south
of I-20, however the lowest half of the atmosphere will remain
quite dry. Scattered elevated showers are likely to develop across
the Big Bend region late Monday night and will spread northeast
into the Big Country early Tuesday. At this time we`ll keep the
forecast dry, but if moisture trends upward we`ll likely need at
least some low PoPs across our southwest counties for part of the
day Tuesday. This system will quickly be absorbed into a deeper
trough over the eastern CONUS on Wednesday. As this occurs,
another cold front will race southward through the Plains. This
front is also expected to come through dry, knocking a few
degrees off of high temperatures for Thursday and Friday.
Unfortunately the pattern really doesn`t appear favorable for any
precipitation into next weekend.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 508 AM CST Sun Jan 11 2026
VFR will prevail through the period beneath a blanket of high
cloud cover. Light west-northwest winds will become northerly
around 10 kt later this morning then gradually become light
southerly overnight tonight. No significant aviation concerns are
expected through the period.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 59 38 62 41 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 61 35 61 40 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 54 30 59 37 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 58 32 63 35 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 57 33 61 38 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 60 37 62 42 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 59 33 61 37 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 61 37 61 40 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 62 35 62 39 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 61 33 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
