Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
352
FXUS64 KFWD 050625
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1225 AM CST Mon Jan 5 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Areas of fog are expected to develop late tonight along and
south of the US-84 corridor.
- Near-record high temperatures are again possible for the first
part of this week, particularly on Tuesday and Wednesday.
- Scattered showers (20-40% chance) appear increasingly likely
Wednesday night through Thursday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1210 AM CST Mon Jan 5 2026
The recent stretch of quiet weather continues tonight into Monday
morning, but it will not be a textbook radiational cooling night.
A solid canopy of cirrus overhead will act like a blanket, and
with low-level flow already beginning to turn back to the south,
temperatures should settle out on the mild side for early January
(generally mid 40s to low 50s). The area to watch early Monday
will be in the Hill Country and adjacent areas in Central Texas
where fog and/or very low stratus are expected develop as shallow
Gulf moisture pools near the surface before daybreak. The best
chance for visibility restrictions looks to be south of US-84,
with improvement expected shortly after sunrise as mixing
increases.
By late morning into the afternoon, surface high pressure will be
well east of the area while lee cyclogenesis over eastern
Colorado tightens the pressure gradient across the Plains. This
should bring a noticeable uptick in breezes and continued
anomalous warmth with highs climbing into the 70s area-wide with
lower 80s possible across the Big Country. Persistent cloud cover
may temper daytime heating a bit, and could also keep boundary
layer mixing from reaching its full potential today. That
combination should help keep minimum RH values from getting too
low this afternoon, limiting any appreciable fire weather
concerns despite the warmer temperatures.
Monday night will stay mild with southerly flow maintaining a
warmer boundary layer with continued high cloud cover overhead.
Lows will generally remain in the upper 40s to mid 50s with a dry
forecast continuing into daybreak Tuesday, setting the stage for a
warmer and drier pattern beyond sunrise.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1210 AM CST Mon Jan 5 2026
Tuesday and Wednesday will be the peak of this week`s warm spell
as ridging aloft holds firm and low-levl flow becomes increasingly
favorable for downslope warming at times. Even though record
highs look mostly safe (probability of tying or breaking a record
high is
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
