Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
493
FXUS64 KFWD 290718
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
118 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Hazardous travel impacts due to lingering ice and re-freezing on
roads will continue across North Texas this morning.
- Another round of freezing fog is possible this morning, mainly
for areas near and east of Interstate 35.
- Much colder temperatures and frigid wind chills are expected
Saturday into Sunday. Wind chills on Saturday will range from
-5 to 15 degrees.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
Southerly winds are now in place across North and Central Texas in
response to an area of low pressure currently developing along the
Front Range. The southerly winds, in combination with the high
clouds invading from the west, will prevent temperatures from
plunging into the teens to lower 20s. Instead, by sunrise today,
temperatures will be in the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Prior to sunrise, we`ll begin to see the advection of slightly
more humid air into the region. Given a relatively cool surface
after several days of cold temperatures, the development of fog is
expected once again this morning. With temperatures below 32
degrees across the region, freezing fog will once again be a
concern, mainly east of I-35.
Today will be the warmest day this week as temperatures rise into
the 50s to lower 60s. The exception will along the immediate Red
River Valley where another cold front will begin moving southward
this afternoon. As the front moves through, cooler temperatures
will begin to usher in this evening and tonight along with breezy
winds between 15-20 mph. Tonight`s lows will quickly dip below the
freezing mark with much of the region in the 20s by Friday
morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
After this afternoon`s cold front, temperatures tomorrow will only
reach the lower 40s to lower 50s. Low clouds will likely be in
place during the morning hours with a gradual clearing of skies
the rest of the day.
A much stronger cold front is slated to move across the region
Friday night into Saturday morning. This cold front will usher in
another round of Arctic air, being funneled into the region by the
elongated area of high pressure in the Central Plains.
Temperatures Friday night will be in the teens in North Texas and
lower to mid 20s in Central Texas. Given the northerly wind in
place, wind chills along and north of I-20 Friday night into
Saturday will range from 5 degrees below zero to around 7
degrees. Central Texas will also be cold as wind chill values in
the single digits to lower teens can be expected.
Strong cold air advection on Saturday will keep high temperatures
below 32 degrees across North Texas. The coldest readings will
likely be along the Red River with upper 20s expected. With the
arctic airmass still in place Saturday night, temperatures Sunday
morning will be in the teens to lower 20s across the region. Light
winds will keep wind chills between 8 to 18 degrees.
As ridging moves east across the Plains, southerly winds will
return on Sunday, commencing a three day warming trend. Highs on
Sunday will be in the 40s/50s with 50s/60s by Monday and Tuesday.
A passing shortwave riding along the southern branch of the jet
stream will increase rain chances Tuesday afternoon into
Wednesday. Rain chances will come to an end as another cold front
moves in by the middle of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 104 AM CST Thu Jan 29 2026
High cloud are now moving in from the west as southerly winds
continue across the region. Increasing moisture will lead to the
potential for fog across all TAF sites, however, the bulk of the
fog is expected to remain just east of all TAF locations. Given
freezing temperatures are once again expected tonight, any fog
that does develop will quickly stick to any surface, increasing
the threat for icing.
By late this morning, VFR skies are expected with southwesterly
winds in place. A cold front will push across all TAF sites this
afternoon and evening, leading to north flow across the region.
Winds will increase to around 18 kts with a few gusts closer to 25
kts late this evening. The breezy northwesterly winds will persist
through the rest of the TAF period with winds finally decreasing
beyond 12z Friday.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 52 27 45 20 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 56 30 47 23 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 49 26 43 14 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 50 22 44 14 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 50 25 43 16 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 53 29 46 19 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 52 27 44 18 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 56 30 47 22 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 59 29 51 23 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 52 24 48 17 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
