Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
130
FXUS64 KFWD 130006
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
606 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy fog will develop tonight across eastern North and Central
Texas.
- Above normal temperatures will continue through Saturday,
before a strong cold front brings colder temperatures on Sunday
with highs in the 40s and 50s.
- Abnormally warm temperatures will return to the region by the
middle of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1240 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
After a foggy morning across eastern parts of North and Central
Texas, remnant clouds will continue to disperse through the rest
of the afternoon as a weak cold front gradually pushes southward.
Given negligible cold air advection, temperatures today will once
again be above normal. Highs will climb into the mid 60s across
North Texas with lower 70s in Central Texas.
The front will stall across Central Texas this afternoon given
its lack of support. This evening and overnight, a surface low
along the Gulf coast will draw moisture into Central Texas as the
front begins to retreat northward. The northward retreat overnight
will once again lead to patchy fog across Central and East Texas
through Saturday mid-morning.
Saturday afternoon`s highs will be similar to today with values
ranging from the mid 60s to lower 70s. Do not be fooled though, a
strong cold front will be moving through during the late evening
hours, leading to a sharp temperature swing going into Saturday
night.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1240 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
As mentioned in the short-term discussion, a strong front will be
moving across North and Central Texas during the evening and
overnight hours. A few showers may develop as the front interacts
with better moisture content across Central Texas. Precipitation
will not be widespread with rain chances diminishing after
sunrise.
The front`s arrival means temperatures will decrease as winds
increase. By Sunday morning, temperatures will be in the mid 20s
to lower 30s in North Texas with mid 30s to mid 40s in Central
Texas. Sustained winds of around 20 mph with a few gusts closer to
30 mph will add a chill to the air; wind chills across North
Texas will be in the teens to mid 20s.
The coldest daytime temperatures will be on Sunday as the area of
high pressure to our north funnels cold air into our region.
Temperatures Sunday night will be in the mid 20s to lower 30s with
practically all of North and Central Texas experiencing freezing
temperatures.
The bulk of the cold air will not last long as southerly winds
return by Monday. This will commence a warming trend with
temperatures climbing above normal by the middle of the week.
Wednesday onward, expected highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s with
southerly winds below 15 mph.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 603 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025
VFR conditions with light north-northeast winds are expected this
evening before MVFR cigs develop southeast of D10 and KACT then
spread northwest across all airports early Saturday morning.
Models have trended more aggressive with the northwest extent of
the MVFR cigs and have adjusted TAFs accordingly, showing MVFR
conditions from 10-12Z through 18Z Saturday morning at airports.
VFR conditions will return Saturday afternoon, with a strong
fropa expected to bring increasingly gusty north winds Saturday
evening/night.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 42 63 33 44 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 48 67 42 50 / 10 10 10 0
Paris 40 59 33 44 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 35 63 28 44 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 39 63 31 44 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 43 65 34 47 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 43 65 36 47 / 0 10 10 0
Corsicana 50 68 43 52 / 0 10 20 0
Temple 49 68 43 52 / 20 10 10 0
Mineral Wells 37 68 31 47 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Shamburger
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
