Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
172
FXUS64 KFWD 310625 AAA
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1225 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A warming trend will begin today and continue through at least
early next week with well-above normal temperatures expected.
- Precipitation is not expected for the next 7 days.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025
It`s another chilly night across North and Central Texas with
temperatures ranging from around 30 in our southeast to the low
40s in our west. The colder temps in the Brazos Valley area are
due to surface high pressure over southeast Texas, with
light southwesterly winds on the north side of the high keeping
temperatures warmer in North Texas. Despite the winds, nearly
clear skies and low dewpoints in the teens will allow lows to
drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s by sunrise.
After the chilly start, a warming trend will begin across the
region today as a large upper level ridge builds across Mexico
northward into western Canada, with flow aloft over Texas
becoming more zonal in nature. Ample sunshine and the very dry
airmass in place will allow highs to warm considerably by 30 to
40 degrees from this morning`s lows and reach the 60s to near 70
by this afternoon. Tonight will see temps on the cool side once
again but not as cold as it has been, with lows in the upper 30s
to low 40s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025
These warmer temperatures will continue through the rest of this
week into next week and be well-above normal for early January.
Highs look to reach the mid 60s to mid 70s on Thursday and the
upper 60s to low 80s on Friday, which is around 10 to 20 degrees
above average for this time of year. A weak front moving through
the region late Friday is anticipated to knock temperatures down
somewhat for the weekend, but highs will still reach the 60s/70s.
Even warmer weather is expected early next week with 70s to low
80s.
As far as rain chances, no precipitation is expected for the next
7 days. Some guidance suggests a weak shortwave moving over the
region late Thursday into early Friday could produce a few
sprinkles or light showers in our East Texas counties, but with
the low level moisture axis off to our east this currently seems
very unlikely. Given the continued lack of rainfall and the last
significant rain being in late November, fire weather concerns
will be increasing on warmer windier days - with Friday and
Monday currently appearing to have some elevated wildfire
potential.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Wed Dec 31 2025
VFR conditions will continue this TAF period with just a few
cirrus clouds expected. South to southwest winds this morning
will veer to westerly during the day, then back to southerly
tonight, with speeds up to 8 knots.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 66 42 70 54 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 66 41 72 58 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 62 38 65 50 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 66 37 68 48 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 64 39 68 51 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 66 43 69 56 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 65 38 69 53 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 68 42 73 57 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 68 39 73 54 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 68 37 73 49 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Shamburger
LONG TERM....Shamburger
AVIATION...Shamburger
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
