Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas

718
FXUS64 KFWD 262252
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
552 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and rain-free weather will persist through the upcoming week
  with little relief in sight.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 541 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Hot and dry conditions will continue into early next week with
southerly winds 10-15 mph. No major changes were made to the
forecast other than to lower afternoon/evening dewpoints through
Tuesday. Deep boundary layer mixing should allow these to fall
into the low/mid 60s which lowers heat indices closer to 105
degrees.

Dunn

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday Night)
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Hot and dry conditions will continue through tomorrow as as high
pressure remains in control of the weather pattern. Temperatures
will be a couple of degrees hotter than yesterday with most
locations reaching the upper 90s or 100-102 degrees this
afternoon and again tomorrow. Overnight lows will also be a
little warmer with temperatures ranging from the mid 70s to lower
80s.

Modest humidity will result in another round of heat index values
between 100-108 degrees each afternoon and into the early
evening. The current Heat Advisory has been extended through
tomorrow for the same areas of North and eastern Central TX.
Continue to practice heat safety, especially during the hottest
part of the day by taking frequent breaks in the shade or A/C and
staying hydrated.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Weekend)
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Not much heat relief is in sight over the week as a strong upper-
level ridge expands and strengthens over the Desert Southwest and
towards our region. Model guidance continues to show a well
established southwest flow over the low-levels of the atmosphere
with little to no rain for North and Central TX. This will result
in widespread highs in the triple digits (100-105 degrees) by
midweek to late week. When comparing to the climatology, we`re
looking at 5-10 degrees above what`s normal for late July. While
at this time it doesn`t appear we will be breaking any records for
high temperatures, we will be close to matching some of the
records for the highest low temperatures during the mid to late
week period. As expected, additional Heat Advisories and Extreme
Heat Warnings will be needed through the week.

Looking ahead to the next weekend, temperatures should cool off
slightly as the upper-level ridge retracts slightly to the west.
This will open the door for a weak surface front to push south
closer to our area. Depending on the exact timing of the front,
many locations could stay in the 90s by late weekend.
Unfortunately, rain chances remain low and mostly confined to our
far eastern and southern counties.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

VFR will prevail with southerly winds 10-15 kt. No significant
aviation concerns are expected through the period.

Dunn

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    80 102  81 102 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                78 100  78 101 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               76  99  77  99 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              77 102  77 102 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            78 102  78 101 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              81 102  81 103 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             77 100  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           78  99  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              75  99  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       74 101  75 102 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Monday for TXZ091>095-100>107-
116>123-131>135-146>148-162.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sanchez
LONG TERM....Sanchez

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion