Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
205
FXUS64 KFWD 261912
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
112 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Widespread hazardous travel impacts due to sub-freezing
temperatures and ice, sleet, and snow on roads will continue
through Tuesday.
- Life-threatening cold wind chills as low as 5 below zero through
Tuesday morning will result in hypothermia and frostbite if
precautions are not taken.
- The long duration of below-freezing temperatures will continue
through Tuesday morning which will increase the risk of broken
pipes and water damage.
- Patchy freezing fog is possible tonight and again Tuesday night
which could cause light ice accumulations.
- Below normal temperatures will persist through the next 7 days,
but no additional precipitation is expected through the
weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday night)
Issued at 111 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
After some morning cloud cover across North and Central Texas,
full sunshine is now prevalent which has allowed temperatures to
already warm into the low 20s north to around 30. The combination
of warmer temps and solar radiation will allow for considerable
melting of the ice, sleet, and snow on roads and buildings. Some
locations in Central Texas may even rise just above freezing this
afternoon, which will aid in further melting. However, any melting
will refreeze tonight as lows drop into the single digits and
teens once again - so any improvements in road conditions today
will worsen again tonight. We could also see some patchy freezing
fog tonight mainly across North Texas, but no notable ice
accumulation should occur.
After the chilly start tomorrow, an even warmer day is
anticipated with highs finally rising well above freezing and
reaching the mid 30s to mid 40s. This should really help kick the
melting process into high gear, although one fly in the ointment
is the thick high clouds anticipated that could slow it down.
Unfortunately, any remaining water or ice on roads will refreeze
once again Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as lows drop into
the mid 10s to low 20s. In addition, guidance is strongly
indicating potential for freezing fog across North Texas as
southerly winds bring higher dewpoints into the area, which could
lead to light ice accumulations on elevated surfaces and possibly
some roads. A weak front is expected to move through North Texas
towards sunrise on Wednesday morning, which will likely help
dissipate any fog that forms.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 111 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
Warmer temperatures are anticipated for Wednesday and Thursday as
a weak upper ridge builds across Texas. Highs will reach the
upper 30s and 40s on Wednesday and mid 40s to mid 50s on Thursday.
Another Arctic cold front is expected push across North and
Central Texas on Thursday night into early Friday, bringing
another round of much colder temperatures for the weekend. Lows
look to drop into the upper single digits and 10s on Friday night
and 10s to around 20 on Saturday night, with highs only in the
30s. Thankfully, precipitation is no longer anticipated with this
front as models are all now dry. A significant warmup will begin
on Sunday and continue into early next week as a larger upper
ridge builds over the western conus, with highs back into the
50s/60s by Monday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 111 PM CST Mon Jan 26 2026
VFR conditions are expected through this TAF period at all
airports. A few mid level clouds are possible today, followed by
thick high cloud cover on Tuesday. North to northwest winds up to
10 knots today will back to southwest around 6 knots or less after
27/02-03Z. There is a low chance of patchy freezing fog tonight
at AFW, but potential is too low to include mention in TAF.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1049 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 28 15 42 22 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 29 14 40 18 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 28 7 36 16 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 26 8 40 15 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 25 11 38 18 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 29 13 40 21 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 27 10 40 19 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 30 15 42 23 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 31 12 45 20 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 28 10 45 16 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Cold Warning until 9 AM CST Tuesday for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Shamburger
LONG TERM....Shamburger
AVIATION...Shamburger
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
