Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas

013
FXUS64 KFWD 121719
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1119 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High clouds will continue across the region today and Tuesday
  with a low chance for sprinkles or light rain in Central Texas.

- Seasonal temperatures will persist through the week with little
  chance for rainfall through the upcoming weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

A steady stream of Pacific moisture continues to bring high clouds
into the region. A few sprinkles will be possible in Central Texas
with a deck of mid-level clouds that has developed over the Hill
Country. Otherwise, no rain is expected today, with high
temperatures topping out in the low to mid 60s.

As an upper level disturbance in Northern Mexico begins to eject
to the northeast tonight into Tuesday, an area of rain may develop
over the Hill Country and move northeast. While most of this
activity will be high-based and will likely evaporate prior to
reaching the ground, a broad area of 10-20% PoPs has been
introduced for much of Central Texas late tonight into tomorrow
in the event any light rain is able to make it to the surface.
Dense cloud cover will keep temperatures in the mid 50s to low 60s
in Central Texas Tuesday afternoon, with highs in the mid 60s in
North Texas where cloud cover will be thinner.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

Tranquil weather will continue much of the week, with a couple of
cold fronts expected to move through the region. The first will
arrive on Wednesday, bringing breezy north winds during the
afternoon. Wind speeds will increase to 15-20 mph behind the front
with gusts around 30 mph. A brief cool-down will also accompany
the front, with overnight lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s
Wednesday night and afternoon highs in the 50s to low 60s for most
areas. Another cold front is slated to arrive on Friday, with
cooler temperatures in the 50s and low 60s expected over the
weekend. No precipitation is anticipated with either of the cold
fronts this week due to a lack of moisture ahead of their arrival.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1115 AM CST Mon Jan 12 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the period, with high cirrus
continuing to stream across the region today and tomorrow. Winds
will be out of the south to southwest near 5 to 7 knots or less. A
few sprinkles will be possible across portions of Central Texas
this afternoon but is not expected to impact the KACT terminal.
Additional sprinkles or light rain may develop across Central
Texas late tonight into Tuesday, but the potential for any
terminal impacts at KACT is too low to include in the TAF at this
time.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    41  67  44  63 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                41  62  42  64 /   0  10   0   0
Paris               37  66  42  58 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              35  67  40  62 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            38  66  42  61 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              42  67  45  63 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             38  65  41  62 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           41  66  44  65 /   0  10   0   0
Temple              41  63  41  66 /  10  10   0   0
Mineral Wells       36  67  40  64 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Barnes
LONG TERM....Barnes
AVIATION...Barnes

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion