Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
327
FXUS64 KFWD 310532
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1232 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Quiet and warm weather continues through Monday. Low rain
chances return Tuesday and Wednesday (10-20% coverage).
- Scattered storms return to the forecast area-wide Thursday
through Saturday (30-50% coverage).
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026
Mid level ridging will keep the forecast warm and dry for Sunday
into Sunday night with southerly winds 10-15 mph and temperatures
in the mid 90s. With a dryline well to our west Sunday afternoon
and the best deep layer moisture displaced to our east, any
scattered storm activity will be well removed from North Texas.
Some passing high clouds are expected mainly this morning, but
mostly sunny skies will prevail this afternoon resulting in high
temperatures 5-7 degrees above normal, but well shy of record
breaking. Quiet weather continues Sunday night with mostly clear
skies and lows in the mid 70s.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026
Mid level ridging will continue to be positioned over North Texas
on Monday with another warm and dry day expected. Highs will again
top out in the mid 90s with little chance for rainfall. This ridge
will begin to weaken a bit on Tuesday as it becomes pinched
between troughing to the east and an approaching weak upstream
trough spreading out of northwest Mexico. As low and mid level
flow becomes more easterly, better moisture will be able to work
into the region and we could see a few scattered storms mainly in
our southeast counties Tuesday afternoon. These low rain chances
will continue into Wednesday mainly west of I-35 as the
aforementioned upper trough spreads out of Mexico. This upper
disturbance will be slow to move out of the area, slowly
traversing the western half of the state into the Southern Plains
through next weekend. This will promote steadily increasing rain
chances Thursday through Saturday with some potential for a little
more organized activity as mid level flow strengthens around the
base and eastern periphery of the trough. As has been the case
over the last couple of weeks, convection should remain scattered
with PoPs increasing to 30-50% by the end of the week.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026
VFR will prevail through the period with south winds 10-15 kt.
Some continued high cloud cover will stream across the region
mainly this morning, but no significant aviation concerns are
expected through the period.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 95 76 95 77 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 94 74 95 74 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 93 73 94 72 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 95 75 96 74 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 94 75 95 74 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 96 77 96 77 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 95 74 96 73 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 95 74 95 74 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 93 72 93 74 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 96 72 95 72 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
