Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
743
FXUS64 KFWD 311755
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1255 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Quiet and warm weather continues through Monday. Low rain
chances return Tuesday and Wednesday.
- Scattered storms return to the forecast area-wide Thursday
through Saturday (30-50% coverage).
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026
Weak riding over the Southern Plains will keep North and Central
Texas precipitation free through tomorrow night. Moisture remains
confined to the upper-levels of the atmosphere, therefore, high
cirrus clouds will continue to stream from southwest to northeast.
Unlike yesterday, a more relaxed surface pressure gradient will
keep wind speeds below 12 mph with no significant gusts expected.
Overnight, the tranquil weather conditions will persist as the
mid-level ridge becomes more amplified. The slight strengthening
of the ridge will yield a 1-2 degree uptick in temperatures on
Monday compared to today with highs between 92-98 degrees across
much of North and Central Texas. Heat index values will be 3-6
degrees warmer.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026
The ridge will begin to break down by the middle of the week as a
trough moves into the West Coast. This trough will contain
embedded shortwaves which will make their way towards our region.
Slightly cooler weather can be expected Wednesday onward as highs
remain in the mid 80s to lower 90s across North and Central
Texas.
With periodic shortwaves moving overhead, rain chances will return
to the forecast Tuesday afternoon, mainly south of the I-20
corridor. As the trough slowly inches closer to our region, we`ll
continue to see daily showers and storms develop atop our region
with the higher precipitation chances mainly west of I-35.
Shower and thunderstorm coverage through much of the week will be
scattered at best. Not all locations will see rain every day,
however, any areas that do experience multiple rounds of heavy
rain may be at risk for flooding. A few strong storms will also be
possible with gusty winds and small hail the main threats. Timing
and location of specific hazards will continue to be assessed as
we approach the latter half of the week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sun May 31 2026
Tranquil weather conditions remain in place through the duration
of this TAF cycle across North and Central Texas with VFR skies
and southerly winds. High clouds will continue to stream across
the region, especially across Central Texas. No significant
weather impacts are expected.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 76 95 77 95 / 0 0 0 10
Waco 74 95 74 95 / 0 0 0 20
Paris 73 94 72 91 / 0 0 0 10
Denton 75 96 74 95 / 0 0 0 10
McKinney 75 95 74 94 / 0 0 0 10
Dallas 77 96 77 95 / 0 0 0 10
Terrell 74 96 73 95 / 0 0 0 10
Corsicana 74 95 74 94 / 0 0 0 20
Temple 72 93 74 93 / 0 0 0 20
Mineral Wells 72 95 72 94 / 0 0 0 10
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Hernandez
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
