Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas
396
FXUS64 KFWD 090600
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1200 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Mild temperatures will prevail this week with a slight warming
trend by the end of the week.
- The next strong cold front is expected to arrive over the
upcoming weekend which will send temperatures back below normal.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 1125 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025
It`ll be warmer today across the region with highs in the low to mid
60s across East TX and mid/upper 60s elsewhere. An embedded clipper
system will trek through the Northern Plains Tuesday with lee
troughing prevailing to the south. Slightly breezier winds will
take place this afternoon as a result of the tightened pressure
gradient, with occasional gusts around 20 mph. As this system
quickly shunts east, a cold front will be sent southward into
North Texas Wednesday morning and through the southernmost
portions of Central Texas by early/mid afternoon. The cold front
will shift winds to the N/NW, but will mostly be unimpactful to
the region. Highs will top out in the low to mid 60s for most
locations, with the exception of the far southern areas climbing
into the upper 60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1125 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025
Light winds and clear skies Wednesday night will allow for
temperatures to drop into the mid/upper 30s behind the front, a
handful of degrees cooler than the previous night. W/NW flow will
prevail aloft Thursday with winds making a quick return back to
the south. Slightly warmer conditions will end the week, with
highs 10 to 15 degrees above seasonal norms by Friday. More
considerable temperature uncertainty then exists this upcoming
weekend, with the latest ensemble runs favoring a weaker (or
nonexistent) front Friday. These trends the last few runs would
result in the postponement of any significant cold air until
Sunday, with forecast highs currently in the 40s and 50s. Weak
isentropic lift may result in light rain as a weak shortwave
moves through, but have kept the NBM`s PoPs of 10% or less given
the uncertainty in this weekend`s system.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1125 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025
Light south winds will continue overnight before increasing in speed
this afternoon and into the early evening, with speeds near 10 to
15 kts. Winds will diminish slightly tonight before the arrival
of a cold front/northerly wind shift Wednesday morning, outside of
the current TAF period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 55 37 65 45 / 0 0 0 0
Waco 58 34 64 44 / 0 0 0 0
Paris 53 32 59 42 / 0 0 0 0
Denton 54 32 64 40 / 0 0 0 0
McKinney 54 33 63 42 / 0 0 0 0
Dallas 55 37 64 45 / 0 0 0 0
Terrell 56 33 63 42 / 0 0 0 0
Corsicana 55 36 66 45 / 0 0 0 0
Temple 57 33 67 42 / 0 0 0 0
Mineral Wells 57 33 69 42 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Gordon
LONG TERM....Gordon
AVIATION...Gordon
NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion
