Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Days 4-8 Outlook

Day 2 Outlook Categorical Probabilistic
Categorical Day2 1730Z Outlook
  

Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
 Forecast Discussion

  
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ACUS02 KWNS 191728
SWODY2
SPC AC 191727

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1227 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE PERMIAN
BASIN NORTH INTO NORTHEAST NM AND WESTERN TX PANHANDLE...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected across the southern High Plains
and a few strong thunderstorms are possible.

...Southern High Plains...
A mid-level low and potent mid-level speed maximum over southern CA
today will move from UT/AZ early Friday morning to the High Plains
from west TX northward into eastern CO.  Low-level moisture will
gradually advect northwestward from the lower Rio Grande Valley into
the Permian Basin and Eastern Plains of NM by Friday afternoon.  The
increasing moisture and upslope flow coupled with forcing for ascent
overspreading the region will promote the development of isolated to
scattered thunderstorms by late afternoon/early evening.  A couple
of more vigorous updrafts may become capable of a threat for large
hail.  Strong heating to the east of a Pacific cold front will
steepen low-level lapse rates (in excess of 7 degrees C/km) and
become conditionally more favorable for isolated severe gusts.  The
activity will likely weaken during the evening coincident with
boundary-layer stabilization.

..Smith.. 04/19/2018

$$