Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Days 4-8 Outlook

Day 3 Outlook 0830Z Probablistic 0830Z
Current Day 3 Outlook 0730z
Categorical Day3 0830Z Outlook

Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
 Forecast Discussion

ACUS03 KWNS 100701
SPC AC 100700

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0200 AM CDT Wed Aug 10 2022

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z


The threat for severe thunderstorms is expected to be relatively low
on Friday.

Only minor changes to the large-scale pattern are expected on
Friday, with a seasonably deep mid/upper-level trough persisting
over the eastern CONUS, while an upper cyclone moves slowly
northward off of the Pacific Northwest coast. A cold front will
continue moving across parts of the Southeast. Another boundary will
take on a more north-south orientation from the Ozark Plateau into
the northern Plains and upper Midwest, with the northern portion
moving northward as a warm front, while the southern portion acts as
more of a backdoor cold front as it pushes westward.

At this time, the threat for organized severe thunderstorms appears
relatively low on Friday. A few strong storms will be possible
across the Southeast Friday afternoon, though the cold front may
tend to outpace the stronger deep-layer flow/shear spreading in from
the northwest. Scattered thunderstorms will also again be possible
across parts of the interior West, though the stronger deep-layer
flow/shear is expected to be displaced from the greater
moisture/instability and storm coverage.

..Dean.. 08/10/2022