Day 1 Outlook Day 2 Outlook Day 3 Outlook Days 4-8 Outlook

Day 3 Outlook 0830Z Probablistic 0830Z
Current Day 3 Outlook 0730z
Categorical Day3 0830Z Outlook
  

Images courtesy of the NWS Storm Prediction Center
 Forecast Discussion

    
000
ACUS03 KWNS 160724
SWODY3
SPC AC 160723

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0123 AM CST Sat Nov 16 2019

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few weak thunderstorms are possible over parts of northern and
western Oregon on Monday.

...Discussion...
A surface low will move rapidly north across New Brunswick,
coincident with a negative-tilt shortwave trough. Any elevated
instability associated with wrap-around moisture looks to be
minimal, and thunderstorms are not expected with this system.

To the west, a northwesterly flow regime will maintain dry
conditions over the Plains, with high pressure reinforcing offshore
flow over the Gulf of Mexico. 

Farther west, a shortwave trough is also forecast to affect the
Pacific Northwest aiding lift with cooling aloft. Minimal
instability may develop along the Oregon coast, and may spread
eastward along the WA/OR border with sporadic thunder possible.
Severe weather is unlikely given very weak/elevated instability.

..Jewell.. 11/16/2019

$$