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Forecast Discussion for Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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962 FXUS64 KFWD 131120 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 520 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Areas of dense fog will affect portions of Central Texas through the morning before visibilities improve by midday. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect. - A strong cold front will sweep through the area tonight leading to colder and windy conditions on Sunday. Light rain and drizzle may accompany this front`s passage. - Abnormally warm temperatures will return to the region next week with minimal rain chances. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tonight) Issued at 1155 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025 Yesterday`s weak stalled frontal boundary and the nearly calm winds in its vicinity are serving as an impetus for dense fog development across Central Texas. Higher surface dewpoints remain pooled along and south of this boundary where a Dense Fog Advisory is already in effect, but additional fog development could occur through parts of East Texas yet this morning along a northward protrusion of the moist axis. We`ll continue to monitor trends for any necessary expansion of the current Advisory. Slow partial clearing of fog and low stratus should occur through the daytime before a strong cold front arrives this evening and tonight. This frontal boundary and its attendant ascent should support additional low cloud cover and perhaps pockets of light rain and drizzle from late this afternoon into tonight. Post- frontal northerly winds will also increase to 15-20 mph with some gusts of 25-30 mph immediately following its passage. Strong cold advection will send overnight lows into the upper 20s and 30s for most locations, some 30+ degrees colder than this afternoon`s highs. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1155 PM CST Fri Dec 12 2025 Sunday morning will feature crisp wind chills in the teens and 20s following the overnight frontal passage, and cold advection will offset diabatic heating with afternoon highs only reaching the 40s. Wind speeds will gradually lessen throughout the daytime, becoming calm on Sunday night. Despite a cold start to Monday morning, an abrupt warming trend will commence through the first half of the workweek as a warm advection regime becomes reestablished, with highs returning to above normal as early as Tuesday. Another fast-moving Central Plains system could sweep through the area during the second half of the week, but the degree of moisture recovery preceding it remains uncertain. For now, rain chances with an additional late week frontal passage are too slim to mention, with an abnormally warm and dry forecast being the most likely solution. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 505 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Low stratus near 2 kft has advanced to the immediate southern fringes of the D10 TAF sites as of 11z, and should be able to overspread the Metroplex airports within the next few hours. MVFR conditions should be the prevailing condition for North Texas airports through the daytime, with perhaps brief scattering to VFR occurring later this afternoon ahead of a strong cold front. For Waco, IFR/LIFR conditions currently prevail with fog reducing visibility to less than 1 mile, and these conditions are unlikely to improve until late morning. The strong cold front will push through Metroplex airports beginning around 03z and Waco closer to 05-06z, and may be accompanied by patchy mist/drizzle and a brief drop to IFR cigs. Gusty north winds to 25 kts will exist behind the front into Sunday morning with cig heights gradually lifting to VFR beyond 12z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 62 31 43 28 / 0 10 0 0 Waco 66 39 47 30 / 20 10 0 0 Paris 59 31 43 23 / 10 10 0 0 Denton 63 26 42 24 / 0 10 0 0 McKinney 62 29 43 25 / 0 10 0 0 Dallas 63 33 46 29 / 0 10 0 0 Terrell 64 33 45 25 / 10 10 0 0 Corsicana 67 40 50 29 / 20 10 0 0 Temple 69 39 49 28 / 20 10 0 0 Mineral Wells 67 29 46 26 / 0 10 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for TXZ147-148- 156>162-174-175. && $$ SHORT TERM...Stalley LONG TERM....Stalley AVIATION...Stalley |
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NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (FWD) Office Forecast Discussions.
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